Northern Illinois vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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Nebraska wide receiver Marcus Washington (7) carries the ball following a reception against Georgia Southern during the second half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, in Lincoln, Neb. Georgia Southern defeated Nebraska 45-42. (AP Photo/Rebecca S. Gratz)
(AP Photo/Rebecca S. Gratz)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:14 AM
  • Nebraska is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Northern Illinois
  • Total (Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • Watch the game on Fox Sports 1

The Northern Illinois Huskies visit Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) to take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in Lincoln.

Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -13 (-110).

The Northern Illinois vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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Northern Illinois vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Illinois+13 -11042.5 -110+360
Nebraska -13 -11042.5 -110-500

Northern Illinois vs Nebraska Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 77.3% confidence.

Northern Illinois vs Nebraska Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Northern Illinois and Nebraska, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.90 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.68 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+2.05 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+6.60 Units / 165% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 93% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)

Best Nebraska Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Nebraska players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Anthony Grant has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 52% ROI)

Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northern Illinois is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Northern Illinois is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -10.98% ROI
  • Northern Illinois is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Northern Illinois is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Nebraska is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Nebraska is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
  • Nebraska is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI

Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Northern Illinois is winless (0-7) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .457

Northern Illinois was winless (0-7) when allowing 200 or more passing yards in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .459

Northern Illinois is 1-8 (.111) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 14th-worst in FBS; Average: .407

Northern Illinois is 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– tied for 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Northern Illinois

Nebraska is winless (0-7) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .425

Nebraska is winless (0-6) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .442

Nebraska is 1-11 (.083) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .513

Nebraska is winless (0-14) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2021 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .290

Matchup Notes for Northern Illinois vs. Nebraska

Nebraska’s QBs has thrown for 273 passing yards in 2 games (just 136.5 YPG) this season — seventh-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 171.0 passing yards per game this season — tied for 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska has gained 223 yards on 21 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) this season — third-worst among Big Ten skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska have just 111.5 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 158.0 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 2,765 passing yards in 14 games (just 197.5 YPG) since the 2022 season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 252.6 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Northern Illinois’s offense has thrown for 2,663 passing yards in 14 games (just 190.2 YPG) since the 2022 season — 19th-worst among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 252.6 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Northern Illinois’s WRs has 147 receptions in 14 games (just 10.5 per game) since the 2022 season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS WRs. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 21.3 receptions per game since the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Northern Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Northern Illinois RBs averaged 12.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (311 yards / 26 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Northern Illinois’s QBs has thrown for 2,765 passing yards in 14 games (just 197.5 YPG) since the 2022 season — 18th-worst among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense has allowed 252.6 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 8.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (484 yards / 59 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– tied for best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (353 yards / 36 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Northern Illinois Kickers have averaged 52.6 yards per kickoff (3,737 yards/71 kickoffs) since last season– 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 61.5

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska RBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Nebraska Skill Players have averaged just 10.0 receptions per game (10/1) this season– 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.6

Nebraska’s QBs has thrown for 273 passing yards in 2 games (just 136.5 YPG) this season — seventh-worst among FBS teams. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 171.0 passing yards per game this season — tied for 26th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska has gained 223 yards on 21 receptions (just 10.6 YPR) this season — third-worst among Big Ten skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska have just 111.5 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-worst among FBS skill players. Northern Illinois’s defense has allowed just 158.0 receiving yards per game this season — 28th-best among FBS defenses.

Northern Illinois Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Northern Illinois has allowed a passer rating of 263.8 in the Red Zone (39.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 165.0

Northern Illinois has allowed 5.1 touchdowns per interception (61 TDs allowed, and 12 INT) since the 2021 season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Northern Illinois has no interceptions and 30 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 9.4

Northern Illinois has allowed 5.1 touchdowns per interception (61 TDs allowed, and 12 INT) since the 2021 season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 1.9

Northern Illinois has allowed a passer rating of 263.8 in the Red Zone (39.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 164.6

Nebraska Cornhuskers Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska allowed a passer rating of 219.2 in the Red Zone (30.0 Pass Attempts) in the 2022 season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 158.0

Nebraska allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 1 of 57 attempts (2%) on 3rd and long in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 10%

Nebraska tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 56 rushing attempts (5% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 15%.

Nebraska has allowed a passer rating of just 94.0 in close and late situations (183.0 Pass Attempts) since the 2021 season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 126.3

Nebraska allowed a Completion Pct of 67% (20 completions/30 attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.