Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 11

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 09, 2022, 8:04 PM
  • Northern Illinois (2-7) are -2.5 point favorites vs Western Michigan (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • Watch the game on

The Northern Illinois Huskies (3-8) visit Waldo Stadium to take on the Western Michigan Broncos (4-7) on Nov. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST in Kalamazoo.

are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Northern Illinois vs. Western Michigan is total points.

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Northern Illinois vs. Western Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 11

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northern Illinois
Western Michigan

Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Western Michigan will win this game with 51.3% confidence.

Northern Illinois vs Western Michigan Spread Prediction for Week 11

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northern Illinois will cover the spread with 61.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Northern Illinois and Western Michigan, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

  • Northern Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 away games (+9.30 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.55 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 21 games (+5.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Northern Illinois have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.05 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.95 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Western Michigan has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Western Michigan have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.65 Units / 15% ROI)

Northern Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northern Illinois has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Northern Illinois is 1-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -73.91% ROI
  • Northern Illinois is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
  • Northern Illinois is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI

Western Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Western Michigan has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Western Michigan is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -13.1% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
  • Western Michigan is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI

Northern Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Western Michigan

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 12.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (308 yards / 24 touches) on 3rd and short this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 9.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (439 yards / 47 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.5

Northern Illinois RBs have rushed for 11 TDs in close and late situations since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Northern Illinois RBs have averaged 195.5 rushing yards per game (4,300/22) since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 132.1

Northern Illinois have gone for two on 18% of PATs this season– 3rd highest among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 5%

Western Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan Kickers have kicked off 0.7 times per game since last season– tied for worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3

Western Michigan RBs have caught just 37 of 65 passes (57% Reception Pct) since last season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 74%

Western Michigan RBs have averaged 1.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (16 yards / 10 touches) on 3rd and short this season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

Western Michigan have gone for two on 18% of PATs this season– 2nd highest among Non-Power 5 Offenses; Average: 5%

Western Michigan have gone for two on 18% of PATs this season– 5th highest among FBS Offenses; Average: 5%

Northern Illinois Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends

Northern Illinois has no interceptions and 26 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 8.7

Northern Illinois has allowed 5.0 touchdowns per interception (50 TDs allowed, and 10 INT) since last season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 1.9

Northern Illinois has allowed 23 TD passes this season– 3rd most in FBS

Northern Illinois has allowed 14 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Northern Illinois has allowed 14 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– 2nd most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Western Michigan Broncos Defensive Stats & Trends

Western Michigan has intercepted 8 of 562 attempts (70.2 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 38.3

Western Michigan has intercepted 8 of 562 attempts (70.2 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 37.7

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (62/562) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

Western Michigan has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (62/562) since last season– best in FBS; Average: 7%

Western Michigan has tackled opponents for a loss on 151 of 708 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since last season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.