Northwestern vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:23 AM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
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The Northwestern Wildcats (1-7) visit SECU Stadium to take on the Maryland Terrapins (6-2) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in College Park.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Northwestern vs. Maryland is total points.

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Northwestern vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern
Maryland

Northwestern vs Maryland Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 68.7% confidence.

Northwestern vs Maryland Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 78.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Maryland, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Northwestern Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Northwestern players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Evan Hull has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Ryan Hilinski has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Best Maryland Player Prop Best Bets Today

    Top NCAAF player prop bets for Maryland players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Rakim Jarrett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Dontay Demus Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the TD Passes Under in 3 of his last 4 games at home (+2.20 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.80 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.90 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 2 of their last 4 away games (+1.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.85 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Northwestern has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Northwestern is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Northwestern is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Northwestern is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Maryland has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Maryland is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Maryland is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Maryland is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

    Northwestern is winless (0-7) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .445

    Northwestern is 1-10 (.091) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .427

    Northwestern is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — 2nd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

    Northwestern is 1-11 (.083) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — tied for 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .397

    Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

    Maryland is winless (0-6) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386

    Maryland is 7-1 (.700) when not throwing an interception since the 2020 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .511

    Maryland is 1-9 (.077) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .319

    Maryland is winless (0-7) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

    Matchup Notes for Northwestern vs. Maryland

    Maryland’s TEs has gained 430 yards on 36 receptions (11.9 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-worst among P5 defenses.

    Maryland’s WRs has been targeted 129 times this season — fifth-most among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 963 receiving yards this season — fifth-fewest among Big Ten defenses.

    Maryland’s TEs has gained 430 yards on 36 receptions (11.9 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

    Northwestern’s TEs has 44 receptions in 16 games (just 2.8 per game) since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

    Northwestern has gained 1,121 yards on 100 receptions (just 11.2 YPR) this season — fifth-worst among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

    Northwestern’s TEs has gained 177 yards on 15 receptions (11.8 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed just 10.6 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among Big Ten defenses.

    Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

    Northwestern RBs have been targeted 13.2 times per game (53/4) this season– highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6

    Northwestern’s TEs has 44 receptions in 16 games (just 2.8 per game) since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

    Northwestern RBs have averaged 9.8 receptions per game (39/4) this season– tied for best among FBS Teams; Average: 3.3

    Northwestern RBs have been targeted 8.1 times per game (129/16) since last season– 5th highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

    Northwestern RBs have been targeted 7 times in short yardage situations this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

    Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

    Maryland’s TEs has gained 430 yards on 36 receptions (11.9 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — fifth-worst among P5 defenses.

    Maryland’s WRs has been targeted 129 times this season — fifth-most among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 963 receiving yards this season — fifth-fewest among Big Ten defenses.

    Maryland’s TEs has gained 430 yards on 36 receptions (11.9 YPR) this season — fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 14.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

    Maryland’s TEs has 0.7 receiving touchdowns per game this season — tied for best among Big Ten TEs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 2.8 receiving touchdowns per game this season — second-worst among P5 defenses.

    Maryland has been targeted 209 times this season — third-most among Big Ten skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 963 receiving yards this season — fifth-fewest among Big Ten defenses.

    Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

    Northwestern has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 6 of 110 attempts (6%) this season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

    Northwestern has allowed 6.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (149 yards / 25 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 3.7

    Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (4 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 55%

    Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (4 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

    Northwestern has allowed first downs on 37% of rush attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%

    Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends

    Maryland has allowed 10 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

    Maryland has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 51 rushing attempts on 3rd and short since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

    Maryland has allowed 10 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

    Maryland has allowed 45.4 receiving yards per game (862/19) to RBs since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 26.8

    Maryland has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 16 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.


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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.