Northwestern vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 9

Nebraska head coach Matt Rhule reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Minnesota, Thursday, Aug. 31, 2023, in Minneapolis. (AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
  • Nebraska is a -7 point favorite vs. Northwestern
  • Northwestern vs. Nebraska Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

Northwestern (5-2) visit Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) to take on Nebraska (5-2) on Oct. 25 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Nebraska is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7 (-115).

The Northwestern vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 43.5 total points.

Bet now on Nebraska vs Northwestern & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Northwestern vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Northwestern+7 -10543.5 -105220
Nebraska -7 -11543.5 -115-275

Northwestern vs Nebraska Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 71.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Nebraska, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Northwestern vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Northwestern will cover the spread with 55.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Nebraska vs Northwestern and all games with BetMGM


  • Northwestern has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+8.70 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.50 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+4.90 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Northwestern have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.96 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Northwestern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.80 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Nebraska have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+2.85 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.90 Units / 28% ROI)

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern is 5-2 against the spread this college football season (+2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI).

  • Northwestern is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.5 Units / 17.13% ROI
  • Northwestern is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
  • Northwestern is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI

Nebraska Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Nebraska iss 1-5 against the spread this college football season (-4.55 Units / -68.42% ROI).

  • Nebraska is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -4.25% ROI
  • Nebraska is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
  • Nebraska is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Nebraska has not allowed a first down on a pass in close and late situations this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 28%

Nebraska has not allowed a first down on a pass in close and late situations this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 27%

Nebraska opponents has averaged 58.7 Passing Attempts per TD (176 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.9

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (4 completions/15 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 57%

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (4 completions/15 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 59%

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

Nebraska was 1-3 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Nebraska was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Nebraska is 9-2 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .674

Nebraska is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .642

Matchup Notes for Northwestern vs. Nebraska

Nebraska was 1-3 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Nebraska was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Nebraska is 9-2 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .674

Nebraska is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .642

Nebraska has not allowed a first down on a pass in close and late situations this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 28%

Nebraska has not allowed a first down on a pass in close and late situations this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 27%

Nebraska opponents has averaged 58.7 Passing Attempts per TD (176 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.9

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (4 completions/15 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 57%

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (4 completions/15 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 59%

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has not allowed a first down on a pass in close and late situations this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 28%

Nebraska has not allowed a first down on a pass in close and late situations this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 27%

Nebraska opponents has averaged 58.7 Passing Attempts per TD (176 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.9

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (4 completions/15 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 57%

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (4 completions/15 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 59%

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska was 1-3 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Nebraska was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Nebraska is 9-2 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .674

Nebraska is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .642

Northwestern Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska has not allowed a first down on a pass in close and late situations this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 28%

Nebraska has not allowed a first down on a pass in close and late situations this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 27%

Nebraska opponents has averaged 58.7 Passing Attempts per TD (176 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: 21.9

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (4 completions/15 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 57%

Nebraska has allowed a Completion Pct of just 27% (4 completions/15 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 59%

Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska was 1-3 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Nebraska was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Nebraska is 9-2 (.818) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2024 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .674

Nebraska is 9-2 (.818) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2024 season– 26th-best in FBS; Average: .642


Bet now on Nebraska vs Northwestern and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether youโ€™re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.