- Washington is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Northwestern
- Northwestern vs. Washington Total(Over/Under): 42.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
The Northwestern Wildcats (2-1) visit Alaska Airlines Field at Husky Stadium to take on the Washington Huskies (2-1) on Sep. 21 in Seattle, WA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Washington is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Northwestern vs. Washington Over/Under is 42.5 total points.
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Northwestern vs. Washington Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Northwestern | +10.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | +340 |
| Washington | -10.5 -110 | 42.5 -110 | -450 |
Northwestern vs Washington Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Washington will win this game with 77.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Northwestern and Washington, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Northwestern vs Washington Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Washington will cover the spread with 66.6% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Northwestern is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Northwestern is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -12.5% ROI
- Northwestern is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 26.87% ROI
- Northwestern is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.15 Units / -35.38% ROI
Washington Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Washington is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- Washington is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -6.32% ROI
- Washington is 0-3 when betting the Over for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
- Washington is 3-0 when betting the Under for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Washington
Northwestern is undefeated (4-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .393
Northwestern is 1-10 (.091) when not forcing a fumble since the 2022 season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .441
Northwestern is 1-6 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– T-31st-worst in FBS; Average: .325
Northwestern is 4-1 (.571) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2023 season– 13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .383
Washington: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern
Washington is 17-3 (.850) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .395
Washington is 15-3 (.833) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2022 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .410
Washington is 15-2 (.882) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
Washington is 11-2 (.846) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .392
Matchup Notes for Northwestern vs. Washington
Washington’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.1% of 669 attempts since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.8% of 95 attempts this season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.6% of attempts this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington’s WRs has gained 4,614 yards on 314 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 3,209 passing yards in 16 games (just 200.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense has allowed 241.7 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 3,209 passing yards in 16 games (just 200.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense has allowed 241.7 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern’s TEs has gained 438 yards on 45 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 3,209 passing yards in 16 games (just 200.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense has allowed 241.7 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 30th-worst among FBS defenses.
Northwestern’s offense has thrown for 3,209 passing yards in 16 games (just 200.6 YPG) since the 2023 season — 33rd-worst among FBS offenses. Washington’s defense has allowed 241.7 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — worst among Big Ten defenses.
Northwestern’s TEs has gained 438 yards on 45 receptions (just 9.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Washington’s defense has allowed just 9.8 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2023 season — T-30th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern TEs have just one touchdown on 8 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2022 season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 1.9
Northwestern WRs have just one touchdown on 38 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.9
Washington Offensive Stats & Trends
Washington’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.1% of 669 attempts since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.5% of attempts since the 2023 season — 16th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.8% of 95 attempts this season — 11th-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.6% of attempts this season — 25th-worst among FBS defenses.
Washington’s WRs has gained 4,614 yards on 314 receptions (14.7 YPR) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten WRs. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 11.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2023 season — T-12th-best among FBS defenses.
Washington has gained 6,075 yards on 449 receptions (13.5 YPR) since the 2023 season — T-2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 10.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2023 season — T-10th-best among FBS defenses.
Washington’s QBs has thrown for 6,047 passing yards in 18 games (335.9 YPG) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among FBS teams. Northwestern’s defense has allowed just 188.8 passing yards per game since the 2023 season — 19th-best among FBS defenses.
Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (4 completions/13 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– T-best in the Big Ten; Average: 51%
Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (34 completions/74 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since the 2022 season– best in FBS; Average: 59%
Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 74 of 578 rushing attempts (13% TFL%) since the 2023 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.
Northwestern sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-2nd-most in FBS
Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 5 of 54 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13%.
Washington Huskies Defensive Stats & Trends
Washington opponents has averaged 6.3 Passing Attempts per TD (76 Pass Attempts/12 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.8
Washington has allowed 4,351 Passing Yards since the 2023 season– most in the Big Ten
Washington has averaged a sack every 21.7 pass attempts (672 Pass Attempts/31 Sacks) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13.1
Washington has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (23/611) since the 2022 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 7%
Washington has intercepted one of 93 attempts this season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 25.5
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