Notre Dame vs NC State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 2

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North Carolina State head coach Dave Doeren watched his team during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Louisville in Louisville, Ky., Saturday, Nov. 19, 2022.
(AP Photo/Timothy D. Easley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 08, 2023, 3:09 PM
  • Notre Dame is a -7.5 point favorite vs. NC State
  • Total (Over/Under): 51 points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish visit Wayne Day Family Field at Carter-Finley Stadium to take on the North Carolina State Wolfpack on Sep. 9. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT in Raleigh.

Notre Dame is a betting favorite in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Notre Dame vs. NC State Over/Under is 51 total points.

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Notre Dame vs. NC State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 2

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Notre Dame-7.5 -11051 -110-300
NC State +7.5 -11051 -110+240

Notre Dame vs NC State Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Notre Dame will win this game with 71.3% confidence.

Notre Dame vs NC State Spread Prediction for Week 2

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts NC State will cover the spread with 65.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Notre Dame and NC State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Notre Dame Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Notre Dame players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Audric Estime has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Best NC State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for NC State players for Week 2, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Jordan Houston has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • NC State have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 35% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 26% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • NC State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 40% ROI)

Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Notre Dame is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Notre Dame is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 8.03% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI

NC State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

NC State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).

  • NC State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 15.38% ROI
  • NC State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
  • NC State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI

Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. NC State

#13 Notre Dame is 14-2 (.875) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .505

#13 Notre Dame is 6-2 (.240) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398

#13 Notre Dame is 19-5 (.760) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .493

#13 Notre Dame is 21-2 (.875) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .622

NC State: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame

North Carolina State is 13-3 (.722) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .521

Matchup Notes for Notre Dame vs. NC State

North Carolina State’s WRs has gained 5,119 yards on 415 receptions (just 12.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State gained 2,943 yards on 266 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State’s WRs have 196.9 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 147.7 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2021 season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on 14.2% of 338 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for 13th-best among FBS offenses. North Carolina State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts in the 2022 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame’s WRs has gained 3,773 yards on 260 receptions (14.5 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. North Carolina State’s defense has allowed just 12.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2021 season — tied for 32nd-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame’s RBs averaged 11.1 yards after the catch in the 2022 season — 11th-best among FBS RBs. North Carolina State’s defense allowed just 10.6 RAC in the 2022 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends

#13 Notre Dame QBs have 12 completions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams

#13 Notre Dame Skill Players have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams

#13 Notre Dame Skill Players have caught 8 touchdown passes this season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

#13 Notre Dame TEs caught 4 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter in the 2022 season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#13 Notre Dame TEs picked up first downs on 10 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– most among Power 5 Teams

NC State Offensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State’s WRs has gained 5,119 yards on 415 receptions (just 12.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for 22nd-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State RBs rushed for 2 TDs on 257 carries (128.5 Carries Per TD) in the 2022 season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.9

North Carolina State gained 2,943 yards on 266 receptions (just 11.1 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 26th-worst among FBS skill players. Notre Dame’s defense allowed just 11.1 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — tied for 30th-best among FBS defenses.

North Carolina State RBs rushed for one TD on 26 carries in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.7

North Carolina State’s WRs have 196.9 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — tied for 34th-best among FBS WRs. Notre Dame’s defense has allowed just 147.7 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2021 season — 29th-best among FBS defenses.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Defensive Stats & Trends

#13 Notre Dame allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 312 attempts (0%) in the 2022 season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 2%

#13 Notre Dame has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (11 completions/29 attempts) this season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 60%

#13 Notre Dame has tackled opponents for a loss on just 9 of 84 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) this season– tied for 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Opponents have averaged just 5.5 completions per game (11 / 2) against #13 Notre Dame this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 18.9

#13 Notre Dame has intercepted 2 of 29 attempts (14.5 pass attempts per int.) this season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: 37.0

North Carolina State Wolfpack Defensive Stats & Trends

North Carolina State forced one fumble on 317 carries in the 2022 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 40.5

North Carolina State has forced 7 fumbles on 708 carries (101.1 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 42.0

North Carolina State forced one fumble on 317 carries in the 2022 season– worst in FBS; Average: 40.2

North Carolina State has forced 7 fumbles on 708 carries (101.1 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 41.5

North Carolina State has allowed first downs on 40% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since the 2021 season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 60%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.