Notre Dame vs USC Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:08 AM
  • USC (10-1) are -5.5 point favorites vs Notre Dame (8-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points

The Notre Dame Fighting Irish (8-3) visit Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum to take on the USC Trojans (10-1) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Los Angeles.

USC are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).

The Notre Dame vs. USC Over/Under is 64.5 total points.

Bet now on USC vs Notre Dame & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Notre Dame vs. USC Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Notre Dame+5.5 -11064.5 -110+180
USC -5.5 -11064.5 -110-225

Notre Dame vs USC Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts USC will win this game with 56.8% confidence.

Notre Dame vs USC Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts USC will cover the spread with 50.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Notre Dame and USC, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Notre Dame Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Notre Dame players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Drew Pyne has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 4 games (+4.75 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Lorenzo Styles has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Best USC Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for USC players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Tahj Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Travis Dye has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.80 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Caleb Williams has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Caleb Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.10 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Travis Dye has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+3.40 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Mario Williams has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the 1H Spread in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.55 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 9 away games (+12.20 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Notre Dame has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 away games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Notre Dame have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • USC has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • USC has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)

Notre Dame Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Notre Dame has gone 6-5 against the spread this college football season (+0.5 Units / 4.17% ROI).

  • Notre Dame is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.65 Units / -20.07% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 13.22% ROI
  • Notre Dame is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI

USC Against the Spread (ATS) Record

USC has gone 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • USC is 6-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 15.41% ROI
  • USC is 8-2 when betting the Over for +5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI
  • USC is 2-8 when betting the Under for -6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI

Notre Dame: Keys to the Game vs. USC

#13 Notre Dame is 15-2 (.882) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .540

#13 Notre Dame is 17-4 (.810) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .516

#13 Notre Dame is 17-3 (.850) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .514

#13 Notre Dame is 14-1 (.737) when scoring 22 or more points since the 2021 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .521

USC: Keys to the Game vs. Notre Dame

#5 USC is 9-1 (.900) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .497

#5 USC is 5-2 (.556) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .385

#5 USC is 9-1 (.900) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .511

#5 USC is 9-1 (.900) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 5th-best in FBS; Average: .504

Matchup Notes for Notre Dame vs. USC

Notre Dame’s TEs has 56 receptions in 10 games (5.6 per game) this season — fifth-best among P5 TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 22.3 receptions per game this season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Notre Dame’s WRs have just 88.1 receiving yards per game this season — second-worst among Power 5 WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 266.9 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Notre Dame’s TEs has been targeted 203 times since the 2021 season — fifth-most among FBS TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 5,571 receiving yards since the 2021 season — third-most among Pac-12 defenses.

Notre Dame Offensive Stats & Trends

#13 Notre Dame TEs have picked up first downs on 16 receptions in the Red Zone since last season– most among FBS Teams

#13 Notre Dame TEs have picked up first downs on 10 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#13 Notre Dame Skill Players have averaged 18.3 yards per reception (841 yards/46 catches) on 3rd and long since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 13.2

#13 Notre Dame TEs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#13 Notre Dame TEs have been targeted 31 times in the 1st quarter this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

USC Offensive Stats & Trends

#5 USC WRs have 52 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#5 USC Skill Players have 57 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#5 USC WRs have been targeted 94 times in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 4th-most among FBS Teams

#5 USC QBs have 57 completions for 20 or more yards — most among FBS Teams

#5 USC Skill Players have caught 22 touchdown passes in the Red Zone — 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Notre Dame Fighting Irish Defensive Stats & Trends

#13 Notre Dame has allowed passes of 40+ yards on just 1 of 290 attempts (0%) this season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 2%

#13 Notre Dame has allowed first downs on 13% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 22%

#13 Notre Dame has sacked opponents 25 times on 1st down since last season– tied for 5th most in FBS

#13 Notre Dame has allowed just 6.0 Yards per Attempt (669 yards/111 attempts) on 1st down — tied for 4th-best in FBS; Average: 7.9

USC Trojans Defensive Stats & Trends

#5 USC has allowed 10 TDs in close and late situations this season– tied for most in FBS

#5 USC has allowed 10 TDs in close and late situations this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#5 USC has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 40 of 162 carries (25%) on 1st down this season– worst in FBS; Average: 13%

#5 USC has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on 40 of 162 carries (25%) on 1st down this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13%

#5 USC has intercepted 28 of 683 attempts (24.4 pass attempts per int.) since last season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 37.8


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.