Ohio vs Kent State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 5

• The Ohio Bobcats are a -5.5 point favorite vs. the Kent State Golden Flashes
• Ohio vs. Kent State Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN+

Ohio (2-2) visit Dix Stadium to take on Kent State (2-2) on Oct. 3 in Kent, OH. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30 pm.

The Ohio Bobcats are betting favorites in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (+120).

The Ohio vs. Kent State Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Ohio vs. Kent State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Ohio vs Kent State Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio will win this game with 52.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Ohio Bobcats and the Kent State Golden Flashes, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ohio vs Kent State Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Ohio Best Bets Today

• Ohio has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• Ohio has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ohio have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 24% ROI)
• Ohio have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.65 Units / 22% ROI)
• Ohio has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 12% ROI)

Kent State Best Bets Today

• Kent State has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+6.60 Units / 52% ROI)
• Kent State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Kent State has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
• Kent State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+1.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• Kent State has hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.55 Units / 11% ROI)

Ohio Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio Bobcats is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.22 Units / -4.98% ROI).

• Ohio is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
• Ohio is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
• Ohio is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Kent State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Kent State Golden Flashes is 2-2 against the spread this college football season (-0.2 Units / -4.55% ROI).

• Kent State is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 35.71% ROI
• Kent State is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
• Kent State is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI

Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Kent State

Ohio was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .583

Ohio was 10-1 (.909) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Ohio is 7-1 (.875) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2024 season– T-12th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .639

Ohio was 10-1 (.909) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 4th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570

Kent State: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

Kent State was winless (0-11) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Kent State was winless (0-12) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .479

Kent State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536

Kent State was winless (0-9) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Matchup Notes for Ohio vs. Kent State

Kent State’s WRs gained 1,900 yards on 119 receptions (16.0 YPR) last season — T-6th-best among FBS WRs. Ohio’s defense allowed 14.3 Yards Per Reception to WRs last season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Kent State’s RBs has rushed for 2,335 yards on 648 carries (just 3.6 YPC) since the 2024 season — worst among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC since the 2024 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Kent State’s RBs has rushed for 2,335 yards on 648 carries (just 3.6 YPC) since the 2024 season — worst among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense have allowed just 3.7 YPC since the 2024 season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Ohio gained 2,398 yards on 191 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio had just 1.1 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-24th-worst among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense allowed 2.1 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio averaged 12.5 yards after the catch last season — T-34th-best among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense allowed 12.2 RAC last season — T-28th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio gained 2,398 yards on 191 receptions (12.6 YPR) last season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Kent State’s defense allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception last season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio QBs rushed for 17 TDs in the Red Zone last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio rushed for 4 TDs in the Red Zone last week– T-3rd-most among FBS Offenses

Ohio QBs rushed for 5 TDs in the 4th quarter last season– T-3rd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio Skill Players have averaged just 7.2 yards per reception (58 yards/8 catches) on 3rd and long this season– 8th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.0

Kent State Offensive Stats & Trends

Kent State RBs averaged just 2.4 Yards per Carry (140 yards/58 carries) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Kent State has not scored on any of their 13 drive in the 3rd quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 23%

Kent State RBs averaged 2.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (153 yards / 60 touches) in the 4th quarter last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Kent State Skill Players averaged 24.1 yards per reception (313 yards/13 catches) with 4-6 yards to go last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.3

Kent State RBs have averaged just 3.5 Yards per Carry (1,369 yards/387 carries) since the 2024 season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1

Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio has no interceptions and 6 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 1.7

Ohio has no interceptions and 6 TD passes allowed this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Ohio has no interceptions (97 pass attempts) this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 39.6

Ohio has no interceptions (97 pass attempts) this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 38.4

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Kent State Defensive Stats & Trends

Kent State has tackled opponents for a loss on 2 of 5 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 8%.

Kent State allowed 6.8 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) last season– T-4th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8

Kent State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 23% (3 completions/13 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%

Kent State allowed 43 TDs in the Red Zone last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 2.0

Kent State has no interceptions and 17 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since the 2024 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 8.4

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