Ohio vs Nebraska Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

• Nebraska Cornhuskers is a -23.5 point favorite vs. Ohio Bobcats
• Ohio vs. Nebraska Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
• TV Channel: FS1

Ohio (0-0) visit Memorial Stadium (Lincoln, NE) to take on Nebraska (0-0) on Sep. 5 in Lincoln, NE. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00 pm.

The Nebraska Cornhuskers are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -23.5 (-115).

The Ohio vs. Nebraska Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Ohio vs. Nebraska Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Ohio vs Nebraska Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Nebraska will win this game with 80.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio Bobcats and Nebraska Cornhuskers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ohio vs Nebraska Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio will cover the spread with 53.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Ohio Best Bets Today

• Ohio has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+6.05 Units / 13% ROI)
• Ohio has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 1% ROI)
• Ohio has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
• Ohio has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
• Ohio have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 47% ROI)

Nebraska Best Bets Today

• Nebraska has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.60 Units / 56% ROI)
• Nebraska have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 64% ROI)
• Nebraska has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 56% ROI)
• Nebraska has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
• Nebraska has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 24% ROI)

Ohio: Keys to the Game vs. Nebraska

Ohio was 11-1 (.917) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush last season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .612

Ohio was 9-1 (.900) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .552

Ohio was 10-1 (.909) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– 10th-best in FBS; Average: .604

Ohio was 9-1 (.900) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-12th-best in FBS; Average: .628

Nebraska: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio

Nebraska was winless (0-4) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Nebraska was winless (0-4) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .460

Nebraska was 7-2 (.778) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– 29th-best in FBS; Average: .624

Nebraska was 1-3 (.250) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .414

Matchup Notes for Ohio vs. Nebraska

Nebraska’s RBs averaged 7.2 targets per game last season — T-6th-highest among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense allowed 3.9 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s WRs averaged just 11.3 yards after the catch last season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Ohio’s defense allowed 14.2 RAC to WRs last season — T-15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nebraska’s RBs has averaged 6.7 targets per game since the 2024 season — 10th-highest among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense has allowed 3.7 receptions per game to RBs since the 2024 season — T-24th-worst among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s QBs threw for 2,394 passing yards in 13 games (just 184.2 YPG) last season — 29th-worst among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Ohio’s offense threw for 2,394 passing yards in 13 games (just 184.2 YPG) last season — 29th-worst among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio’s QBs threw for 2,394 passing yards in 13 games (just 184.2 YPG) last season — 29th-worst among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio’s QBs threw for 2,394 passing yards in 13 games (just 184.2 YPG) last season — 29th-worst among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among P5 defenses.

Ohio’s offense threw for 2,394 passing yards in 13 games (just 184.2 YPG) last season — 29th-worst among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio’s QBs threw for 2,394 passing yards in 13 games (just 184.2 YPG) last season — 29th-worst among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 2nd-best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio’s offense threw for 2,394 passing yards in 13 games (just 184.2 YPG) last season — 29th-worst among FBS offenses. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio’s QBs threw for 2,394 passing yards in 13 games (just 184.2 YPG) last season — 29th-worst among FBS teams. Nebraska’s defense allowed just 154.1 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.

Nebraska Offensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska TEs had just one touchdown on 59 receptions last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.3

Nebraska Skill Players had no touchdowns on 27 receptions in close and late situations last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.9

Nebraska’s RBs averaged 7.2 targets per game last season — T-6th-highest among FBS RBs. Ohio’s defense allowed 3.9 receptions per game to RBs last season — T-26th-worst among FBS defenses.

Nebraska TEs had no touchdowns on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0

Nebraska Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 3.8 receptions (34 Rec/9 TDs) in the Red Zone last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big Ten Teams; Average: 2.1

Ohio Defensive Stats & Trends

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 7 of 30 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on 93 of 364 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the 2023 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Ohio allowed 13 TDs in close and late situations last season– T-2nd-most in FBS

Ohio tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 30 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– 12th-worst in FBS; Average: 10%.

Nebraska Defensive Stats & Trends

Nebraska allowed 8 rushing TDs on 390 carries (48.8 Carries Per TD) last season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 23.2

Nebraska had no interceptions and 14 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.2

Nebraska had no interceptions (0 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 36.5

Nebraska allowed 100.2 yards from scrimmage per game to WRs last season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: 161.6

Nebraska opponents averaged 7.0 Passing Attempts per TD (28 Pass Attempts/4 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone last season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

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