Ohio St vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

• Ohio St is a -14.5 point favorite vs. Illinois
• Ohio State vs. Illinois Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
• TV Channel: FOX

Ohio State (5-0) visit Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) to take on Illinois (5-1) on Oct. 11 in Champaign, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Ohio St is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -14.5 (-105).

The Ohio State vs. Illinois Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Ohio State vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Ohio State vs Illinois Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 78.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio St and Illinois, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ohio State vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Ohio State Best Bets Today

• Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 9% ROI)
• Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.10 Units / 4% ROI)
• Ohio State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
• Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 15 games (+2.40 Units / 15% ROI)
• Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.25 Units / 21% ROI)

Illinois Best Bets Today

• Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 14% ROI)
• Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
• Illinois has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 9% ROI)
• Illinois have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
• Illinois have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.81 Units / 42% ROI)

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio St is 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI).

• Ohio State is 4-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 5.5% ROI
• Ohio State is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
• Ohio State is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Illinois iss 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 60% ROI).

• Illinois is 4-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 7.8% ROI
• Illinois is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
• Illinois is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois

Illinois has allowed 76 first down receptions this season– most in the Big Ten

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14%.

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 48 of 441 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) last season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Illinois has allowed 133 completions this season– most in the Big Ten

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Illinois is 8-1 (.889) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Illinois was 7-3 (.700) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Illinois was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Illinois was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

Matchup Notes for Ohio State vs. Illinois

Illinois is 8-1 (.889) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Illinois was 7-3 (.700) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Illinois was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Illinois was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

Illinois has allowed 76 first down receptions this season– most in the Big Ten

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14%.

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 48 of 441 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) last season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Illinois has allowed 133 completions this season– most in the Big Ten

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

Illinois has allowed 76 first down receptions this season– most in the Big Ten

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14%.

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 48 of 441 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) last season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Illinois has allowed 133 completions this season– most in the Big Ten

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Illinois is 8-1 (.889) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Illinois was 7-3 (.700) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Illinois was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Illinois was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends

Illinois has allowed 76 first down receptions this season– most in the Big Ten

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14%.

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 48 of 441 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) last season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

Illinois has allowed 133 completions this season– most in the Big Ten

Illinois tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 67 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) in the Red Zone last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends

Illinois is 8-1 (.889) when in a one score game since the 2024 season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515

Illinois was 7-3 (.700) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-20th-best in FBS; Average: .442

Illinois was 6-3 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-19th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Illinois was 5-1 (.833) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-10th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .645

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