Ohio St vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

Wisconsin head coach Luke Fickell reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Northwestern Saturday, Nov. 11, 2023, in Madison, Wis. (AP Photo/Morry Gash)
(AP Photo/Morry Gash)
  • Ohio St is a -25.5 point favorite vs. Wisconsin
  • Ohio State vs. Wisconsin Total (Over/Under): 41.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBS | PAR+

Ohio State (6-0) visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on Wisconsin (2-4) on Oct. 18 in Madison, WI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.

Ohio St is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -25.5 (-105).

The Ohio State vs. Wisconsin Over/Under is 41.5 total points.

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Ohio State vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio State-25.5 -10541.5 -115-5000
Wisconsin +25.5 -11541.5 -1051600

Ohio State vs Wisconsin Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 92.3% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio St and Wisconsin, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Ohio State vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 56.4% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Ohio State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Ohio State have covered the Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.10 Units / 4% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Ohio State has hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.20 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+1.10 Units / 2% ROI)

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio St is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).

  • Ohio State is 5-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 6.31% ROI
  • Ohio State is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Ohio State is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin iss 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Wisconsin is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.9 Units / -7.38% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Wisconsin is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Wisconsin is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .501

Wisconsin was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Wisconsin is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 36.1

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9

Wisconsin tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 35 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Wisconsin allowed opponents to catch 17 of 22 passes (77% Reception Pct) in close and late situations last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 60%

Matchup Notes for Ohio State vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 36.1

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9

Wisconsin tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 35 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Wisconsin allowed opponents to catch 17 of 22 passes (77% Reception Pct) in close and late situations last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 60%

Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Wisconsin is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .501

Wisconsin was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Wisconsin is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Wisconsin is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .501

Wisconsin was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Wisconsin is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 36.1

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9

Wisconsin tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 35 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Wisconsin allowed opponents to catch 17 of 22 passes (77% Reception Pct) in close and late situations last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 60%

Ohio State Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin was winless (0-5) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .498

Wisconsin is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2024 season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .501

Wisconsin was 1-7 (.125) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500

Wisconsin is 1-10 (.091) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2024 season– 6th-worst in FBS; Average: .418

Wisconsin Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin did not record a sack (39 pass attempts) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.1

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 36.1

Wisconsin intercepted 4 of 323 attempts (80.8 pass attempts per int.) last season– 3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 34.9

Wisconsin tackled opponents for a loss on just 1 of 35 rushing attempts (3% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%.

Wisconsin allowed opponents to catch 17 of 22 passes (77% Reception Pct) in close and late situations last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 60%


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