Ohio State vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

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Indiana linebacker Aaron Casey (44) reacts during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Idaho, Saturday, Sept. 10, 2022, in Bloomington, Ind. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
(AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 05, 2023, 1:30 PM
  • Ohio State is a -30.5 point favorite vs Indiana
  • Total (Over/Under): 59.5 points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Ohio State Buckeyes visit Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) to take on the Indiana Hoosiers on Sep. 2. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Bloomington.

is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at ().

The Ohio State vs. Indiana Over/Under is total points.

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Ohio State vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 1

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio State
Indiana

Ohio State vs Indiana Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

Ohio State vs Indiana Spread Prediction for Week 1

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Ohio State will cover the spread with 67.3% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Indiana, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Ohio State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio State players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Emeka Egbuka has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Cade Stover has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Julian Fleming has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Marvin Harrison Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • TreVeyon Henderson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Miyan Williams has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 24% ROI)

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Ohio State went 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.45 Units / -5.11% ROI
  • Ohio State went 9-3 when betting the Over for +5.7 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Ohio State went 3-9 when betting the Under for -6.9 Units / -52.27% ROI

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana went against the spread last college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Indiana went 3-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.35 Units / -11.49% ROI
  • Indiana went 7-5 when betting the Over for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
  • Indiana went 5-7 when betting the Under for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

#3 Ohio State is 12-1 (.857) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .389

#3 Ohio State is 13-1 (.929) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– best in FBS; Average: .449

#3 Ohio State is 17-3 (.850) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .422

#3 Ohio State was 10-1 (.909) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .415

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Indiana is 2-15 (.118) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

Indiana is 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– tied for 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .515

Indiana is 1-14 (.056) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .367

Indiana is 1-13 (.062) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .311

Matchup Notes for Ohio State vs. Indiana

Indiana’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 6.2% of 482 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for third-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts in the 2022 season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s WRs gained 1,835 yards on 159 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs in the 2022 season — tied for 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana has gained 4,688 yards on 456 receptions (just 10.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among Big Ten skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs gained 3,323 yards on 215 receptions (15.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State gained 3,878 yards on 274 receptions (14.2 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for ninth-best among FBS skill players. Indiana’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs has gained 7,384 yards on 482 receptions (15.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State’s WRs gained 3,323 yards on 215 receptions (15.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — second-best among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State gained 3,878 yards on 274 receptions (14.2 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for ninth-best among FBS skill players. Indiana’s defense allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception in the 2022 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs has gained 7,384 yards on 482 receptions (15.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 12.2 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

#3 Ohio State WRs have 114 receptions for 20 or more yards since the 2021 season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams

Ohio State’s WRs gained 3,323 yards on 215 receptions (15.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — tied for 14th-best among FBS WRs. Indiana’s defense allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception to WRs in the 2022 season — tied for 33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 6.2% of 482 attempts in the 2022 season — tied for third-worst among FBS offenses. Ohio State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.7% of attempts in the 2022 season — 27th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s WRs gained 1,835 yards on 159 receptions (just 11.5 YPR) in the 2022 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten WRs. Ohio State’s defense allowed just 9.3 Yards Per Reception to TEs in the 2022 season — tied for 21st-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana has gained 4,688 yards on 456 receptions (just 10.3 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among Big Ten skill players. Ohio State’s defense has allowed just 9.7 Yards Per Reception to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for 15th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s TEs has 104 receptions in 24 games (4.3 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten TEs. Ohio State’s defense has allowed 4.4 receptions per game to TEs since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s QBs has thrown for 5,166 passing yards in 24 games (just 215.2 YPG) since the 2021 season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Ohio State’s defense has allowed 241.0 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

#3 Ohio State tackled opponents for a loss on just 2 of 27 rushing attempts (7% TFL%) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– tied for 35th-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.

#3 Ohio State has allowed a Completion Pct of 65% (49 completions/75 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 8th-worst in FBS; Average: 54%

#3 Ohio State tackled opponents for a loss on 10 of 53 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 34th-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

#3 Ohio State allowed 17 TDs in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: 2.1

#3 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 103 rushing attempts (19% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 23rd-best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana has allowed 37 first down receptions in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– most in FBS

Indiana allowed 19 first down receptions in the Red Zone in the 2022 season– 2nd-most in FBS

Indiana has allowed first downs on 39% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 22%

Indiana has allowed 37 first down receptions in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– most among Power 5 Teams

Indiana has allowed 35 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– tied for most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.