Ohio State vs Northwestern Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 04, 2022, 9:15 AM
  • (3-6) are point favorites vs (3-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on ABC

The Ohio State Buckeyes (9-0) visit Ryan Field to take on the Northwestern Wildcats (1-8) on Nov. 5. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Evanston.

are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Ohio State vs. Northwestern is total points.

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Ohio State vs. Northwestern Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 10

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio State
Northwestern

Ohio State vs Northwestern Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts predicted-winning-team will win this game with confidence-percentage confidence.

Ohio State vs Northwestern Spread Prediction for Week 10

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts spread-winning-team will cover the spread with spread-confidence confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Northwestern, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Ohio State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio State players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Northwestern Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Northwestern players for Week 10, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Ohio State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Ohio State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Ohio State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Northwestern Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Northwestern has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Northwestern is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Northwestern is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Northwestern is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Northwestern

#2 Ohio State is undefeated (10-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .376

#2 Ohio State is undefeated (11-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best in FBS; Average: .437

#2 Ohio State is 19-1 (.950) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — best in FBS; Average: .492

#2 Ohio State is 9-2 (.818) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .378

Northwestern: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

Northwestern is winless (0-6) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

Northwestern is winless (0-10) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .449

Northwestern is 1-9 (.100) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497

Northwestern is winless (0-14) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .423

Matchup Notes for Ohio State vs. Northwestern

Northwestern’s WRs has gained 787 yards on 75 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — tied for worst among Power 5 WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern has gained 1,487 yards on 149 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among Power 5 skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Northwestern has gained 3,615 yards on 357 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s QBs has thrown for 7,461 passing yards in 21 games (355.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — third-best among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed 256.4 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State has gained 7,288 yards on 515 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Power 5 skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s WRs has 24 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among Power 5 WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 28 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for second-most among P5 defenses.

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

Ohio State’s QBs has thrown for 7,461 passing yards in 21 games (355.3 YPG) since the 2021 season — third-best among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed 256.4 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

#2 Ohio State QBs have 111 completions for 20 or more yards since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Ohio State has gained 7,288 yards on 515 receptions (14.2 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for third-best among Power 5 skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

#2 Ohio State WRs have 94 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#2 Ohio State Skill Players have caught 71 touchdown passes since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Northwestern Offensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern’s WRs has gained 787 yards on 75 receptions (just 10.5 YPR) this season — tied for worst among Power 5 WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern has gained 1,487 yards on 149 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) this season — fourth-worst among Power 5 skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.0 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among P5 defenses.

Northwestern has gained 3,615 yards on 357 receptions (just 10.1 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among FBS skill players. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 10.9 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten defenses.

Northwestern WRs have averaged a touchdown every 22.9 receptions (206 Rec/9 TDs) since last season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

Northwestern RBs have been targeted 10 times in short yardage situations this season– most among FBS Teams

Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

#2 Ohio State has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 280 carries (70 Carries Per TD) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 24.1

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 20 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd best in FBS; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has allowed 4 rushing TDs on 280 carries (70 Carries Per TD) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 25.1

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 20 rushing attempts (30% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has allowed 5.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,150 yards / 408 touches) this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 6.8

Northwestern Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (9 completions/25 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 54%

Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (8 completions/22 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best in FBS; Average: 58%

Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (9 completions/25 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Northwestern has tackled opponents for a loss on just 93 of 767 rushing attempts (12% TFL%) since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Northwestern has allowed a Completion Pct of just 36% (8 completions/22 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.