Ohio State vs Penn State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:34 PM
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The Ohio State Buckeyes (8-0) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (6-2) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in University Park.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Ohio State vs. Penn State is total points.

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Ohio State vs. Penn State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Ohio State
Penn State

Ohio State vs Penn State Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Ohio State will win this game with 74.9% confidence.

Ohio State vs Penn State Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 70.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Ohio State and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Ohio State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Ohio State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Ohio State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Ohio State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Ohio State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Ohio State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Ohio State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Penn State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Penn State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Penn State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Penn State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Ohio State: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State

#2 Ohio State is undefeated (9-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .373

#3 Ohio State is 14-1 (.875) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2020 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

#2 Ohio State is undefeated (10-0) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — best in FBS; Average: .435

#2 Ohio State is 18-1 (.947) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — best in FBS; Average: .490

Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Ohio State

#16 Penn State is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

#10 Penn State is 10-4 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2020 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .484

#16 Penn State is 9-4 (.562) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .425

#10 Penn State is winless (0-5) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

Matchup Notes for Ohio State vs. Penn State

Penn State’s TEs has gained 964 yards on 75 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Big Ten TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Penn State have 263.5 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 239.3 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Penn State’s TEs has 31 receptions in 7 games (4.4 per game) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 21.4 receptions per game this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.7% of 706 attempts since the 2021 season — third-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.2% of 214 attempts this season — second-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts this season — third-best among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State has gained 2,261 yards on 156 receptions (14.5 YPR) this season — tied for third-best among Power 5 skill players. Northwestern’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State Offensive Stats & Trends

#2 Ohio State WRs have caught 57 touchdown passes since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#2 Ohio State WRs have caught 19 touchdown passes this season– most among FBS Teams

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 15.7% of 706 attempts since the 2021 season — third-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.4% of attempts since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 18.2% of 214 attempts this season — second-best among FBS offenses. Northwestern’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.3% of attempts this season — third-best among Big Ten defenses.

#2 Ohio State Skill Players have caught 66 touchdown passes since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends

Penn State’s TEs has gained 964 yards on 75 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among Big Ten TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 11.7 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Big Ten defenses.

#16 Penn State TEs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Penn State have 263.5 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Big Ten skill players. Indiana’s defense has allowed 239.3 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Penn State’s TEs has 31 receptions in 7 games (4.4 per game) this season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 21.4 receptions per game this season — third-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Penn State’s WRs has been targeted 471 times since the 2021 season — third-most among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 4,547 receiving yards since the 2021 season — third-most among Big Ten defenses.

Ohio State Buckeyes Defensive Stats & Trends

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 14 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best in FBS; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 14 rushing attempts (43% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

#2 Ohio State has allowed 54.0 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– best in FBS; Average: 145.1

#2 Ohio State has allowed first downs on 20% of rush attempts on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 60%

#2 Ohio State has not allowed a first down on any of their opponents’ 14 rush attempts in the Red Zone this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 17%

Penn State Nittany Lions Defensive Stats & Trends

#16 Penn State opponents has averaged 10.7 Passing Attempts per TD (64 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– best in FBS; Average: 4.0

#16 Penn State opponents has averaged 10.7 Passing Attempts per TD (64 Pass Attempts/6 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1

#16 Penn State opponents has averaged 65.7 Passing Attempts per TD (197 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 20.9

#16 Penn State opponents has averaged 45.4 Passing Attempts per TD (635 Pass Attempts/14 Passing TDs) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 20.0

#16 Penn State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 28% (10 completions/36 attempts) in close and late situations this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 57%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.