Oklahoma vs Florida State Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Cheez-It Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 26, 2022, 10:45 AM
  • (3-9) are point favorites vs (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
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The Oklahoma Sooners (6-7) visit Camping World Stadium to take on the Florida State Seminoles (10-3) on Dec. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 5:30pm EST in Orlando.

are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at ().

The Oklahoma vs. Florida State Over/Under is total points.

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Oklahoma vs. Florida State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma
Florida State

Oklahoma vs Florida State Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Florida State will win this game with 69.1% confidence.

Oklahoma vs Florida State Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 52.2% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma and Florida State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Oklahoma Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Eric Gray has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Brayden Willis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 away games (+3.05 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Eric Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 away games (+1.75 Units / 34% ROI)

Best Florida State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Florida State players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Mycah Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Jordan Travis has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Jordan Travis has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Jordan Travis has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Johnny Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ontaria Wilson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oklahoma is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Oklahoma is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Oklahoma is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Florida State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Florida State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Florida State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Florida State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Florida State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Florida State

Oklahoma is 10-3 (.769) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .447

Oklahoma is 10-1 (.714) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .482

Oklahoma is 12-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .555

Oklahoma is 7-3 (.538) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .391

Florida State: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

#13 Florida State is 8-6 (.533) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .415

#13 Florida State is 8-3 (.727) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 14th-best in FBS; Average: .412

#13 Florida State is 6-3 (.600) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .432

#13 Florida State is 7-1 (.778) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma vs. Florida State

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged 21.6 yards per reception (302 yards/14 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged 21.6 yards per reception (302 yards/14 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.6

Oklahoma WRs have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (1,137 yards/64 catches) on 1st down this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.3

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged just 8.9 yards per reception (231 yards/26 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.6

Oklahoma WRs have caught 13 of 15 passes (87% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Florida State Offensive Stats & Trends

#14 Florida State QBs have rushed for 5 TDs in the 1st quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#14 Florida State Skill Players have averaged 18.2 yards per reception (309 yards/17 catches) in close and late situations this season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7

#14 Florida State RBs have averaged 10.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (162 yards / 15 touches) on third and 3-5 yards to go since last season– tied for best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

#14 Florida State WRs have averaged 19.9 yards per reception (219 yards/11 catches) in close and late situations this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.7

#14 Florida State Skill Players have averaged 18.2 yards per reception (309 yards/17 catches) in close and late situations this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

Oklahoma Sooners Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma has allowed 12 TD passes in close and late situations since last season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Oklahoma has allowed 296 first down receptions since last season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 31 of 135 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has 16 interceptions this season– 3rd most in FBS

Oklahoma has averaged 1.45 interceptions per game (16/11) this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 0.83

Florida State Seminoles Defensive Stats & Trends

#14 Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 25% (2 completions/8 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 61%

#14 Florida State has allowed just 168.3 receiving yards per game (1,683/10) this season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 223.7

#14 Florida State has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (29/278) this season– tied for 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#14 Florida State has sacked opposing QBs on 9% of pass attempts (62/676) since last season– tied for 5th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#14 Florida State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (22 completions/52 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go since last season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.