Oklahoma St vs Colorado Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

Colorado cornerback Travis Hunter (12) in the first half of an NCAA college football game Saturday, Sept. 9, 2023, in Boulder, Colo. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
  • Colorado is a -17 point favorite vs. Oklahoma St
  • Oklahoma State vs. Colorado Total (Over/Under): 65.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-8) visit Folsom Field to take on the Colorado Buffaloes (8-3) on Nov. 29 in Boulder, CO. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST.

Colorado is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -17 (-110).

The Oklahoma State vs. Colorado Over/Under is 65.5 total points.

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Oklahoma State vs. Colorado Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma State+17 -11065.5 -110+550
Colorado -17 -11065.5 -110-800

Oklahoma State vs Colorado Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Colorado will win this game with 88.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma St and Colorado, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oklahoma State vs Colorado Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Colorado will cover the spread with 60.2% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.55 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+0.20 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Colorado have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Colorado have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Colorado has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 8 games (+2.80 Units / 32% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Oklahoma State Player Prop Bets Today

  • Alan Bowman has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.25 Units / 125% ROI)
  • Rashod Owens has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Alan Bowman has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Ollie Gordon II has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • De’Zhaun Stribling has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Colorado players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Colorado Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Shedeur Sanders has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Shedeur Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Travis Hunter has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Jimmy Horn Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game at home (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Isaiah Augustave has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma St is 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.7 Units / -47.5% ROI).

  • Oklahoma State is 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -21.32% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Colorado Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Colorado is 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.75 Units / 39.58% ROI).

  • Colorado is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 32.96% ROI
  • Colorado is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI
  • Colorado is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.13% ROI

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Colorado

Oklahoma State is 2-6 (.250) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties this season– T-5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .597

Oklahoma State is 5-2 (.714) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .613

Oklahoma State is 11-5 (.688) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-38th-best in FBS; Average: .598

Oklahoma State is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .415

Colorado: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

Colorado is undefeated (6-0) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times this season– T-best in FBS; Average: .579

Colorado is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities this season– T-35th-best in FBS; Average: .607

Colorado is 5-1 (.833) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– 13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .650

Colorado is 3-6 (.333) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .534

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma State vs. Colorado

Colorado’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 416 attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.6% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado’s WRs has 411 receptions in 23 games (17.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 19.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-35th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State has 588 receptions in 25 games (23.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 skill players. Colorado’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s WRs has 457 receptions in 25 games (18.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 14.2 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State’s WRs has 457 receptions in 25 games (18.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 3.9 yards per reception (31 yards/8 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.0

Oklahoma State has 588 receptions in 25 games (23.5 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 skill players. Colorado’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s WRs has 457 receptions in 25 games (18.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 14.2 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — 15th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State WRs have caught 8 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– most among Power Conference Teams

Oklahoma State’s WRs has 457 receptions in 25 games (18.3 per game) since the 2023 season — 2nd-best among Big 12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 20.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 18th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado Offensive Stats & Trends

Colorado’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.8% of 416 attempts this season — T-35th-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.6% of attempts this season — 2nd-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado’s WRs has 411 receptions in 23 games (17.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 19.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — T-35th-worst among FBS defenses.

Colorado has averaged just 11.0 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 3rd-worst among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 13.9 RAC since the 2023 season — worst among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado’s WRs has 411 receptions in 23 games (17.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 3rd-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 19.6 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 5th-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Colorado’s QBs has thrown for 3,488 passing yards in 11 games (317.1 YPG) this season — 7th-best among FBS teams. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 272.0 passing yards per game this season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State allowed 4 TD passes last week– most among Power Conference Teams

Oklahoma State has allowed 115 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams

Oklahoma State has allowed 503.5 yards from scrimmage per game this season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 371.6

Oklahoma State has allowed 231.5 rushing yards per game (2,547/11) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 134.9

Oklahoma State has forced 3 fumbles on 448 carries (149.3 Carries Per Fumble) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 43.6

Colorado Buffaloes Defensive Stats & Trends

Colorado has sacked opposing QBs on 10% of pass attempts (34/334) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 6%

Colorado has allowed 51.4 receiving yards per game (565/11) to RBs this season– worst in FBS; Average: 24.9

Colorado has averaged 3.1 sacks per game this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 1.9

Colorado has allowed 3.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (296 yards / 98 touches) in the Red Zone this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 3.9

Colorado has sacked opponents 34 times this season– most in the Big 12


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