- The Kansas State is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Oklahoma St
- The Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State Total(Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: ESPN
The Oklahoma State Cowboys (3-1) visit Bill Snyder Family Stadium to take on the Kansas State Wildcats (3-1) on Sep. 28 in Manhattan, KS. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.
Kansas State is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).
The Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oklahoma State | +4.5 -105 | 55.5 -110 | +160 |
| Kansas State | -4.5 -115 | 55.5 -110 | -190 |
Oklahoma State vs Kansas State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Kansas State will win this game with 65.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma St and Kansas State, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oklahoma State vs Kansas State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Kansas State will cover the spread with 65.9% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oklahoma State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+12.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- Oklahoma State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.70 Units / 13% ROI)
Kansas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Kansas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kansas State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kansas State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.05 Units / 32% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Oklahoma State Player Prop Bets Today
- Brennan Presley has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Ollie Gordon II has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- Rashod Owens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ollie Gordon II has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- De’Zhaun Stribling has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Kansas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Kansas State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- DJ Giddens has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jadon Jackson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- DJ Giddens has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Keagan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Avery Johnson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oklahoma St is 2-1 against the spread this college football season (+0.9 Units / 20% ROI).
Kansas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Kansas State is 1-3 against the spread this college football season (-2.25 Units / -52.33% ROI).
Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Kansas State
Oklahoma State is 11-1 (.917) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times since the 2023 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .597
Oklahoma State is 9-2 (.818) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-17th-best in FBS; Average: .547
Oklahoma State is 12-1 (.923) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-5th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .674
Oklahoma State is 12-3 (.800) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-23rd-best in FBS; Average: .647
Kansas State: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State
Kansas State is 10-3 (.769) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .604
Kansas State is 12-4 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-39th-best in FBS; Average: .647
Kansas State is 10-1 (.909) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-13th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .745
Kansas State is 7-2 (.778) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 12th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .518
Matchup Notes for Oklahoma State vs. Kansas State
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 642 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 280.8 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 642 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 280.8 passing yards per game this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State’s QBs has thrown for 642 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 20th-worst among FBS teams. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 280.8 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Oklahoma State has been targeted 161 times this season — 3rd-most among Big 12 skill players. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 857 receiving yards this season — 5th-most among Big 12 defenses.
Oklahoma State’s RBs has rushed for 302 yards on 99 carries (just 3.1 YPC) this season — 5th-worst among FBS RBs. Kansas State’s defense have allowed just 2.8 YPC this season — T-17th-best among FBS defenses.
Oklahoma State’s WRs has been targeted 131 times this season — most among Big 12 WRs. Kansas State’s defense has allowed 857 receiving yards this season — 5th-most among Big 12 defenses.
Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma State WRs have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Oklahoma State Skill Players have 5 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among Big 12 Teams
Oklahoma State WRs have been targeted 155 times in the 1st quarter since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 4.5 yards per reception (27 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.0
Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 4.5 yards per reception (27 yards/6 catches) in the 4th quarter since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.8
Kansas State Offensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State WRs have no touchdowns on 32 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.8
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 642 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 280.8 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Kansas State’s offense has thrown for 642 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 280.8 passing yards per game this season — 13th-worst among FBS defenses.
Kansas State WRs have no touchdowns on 32 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among Big 12 Teams; Average: 10.3
Kansas State’s QBs has thrown for 642 passing yards in 4 games (just 160.5 YPG) this season — 20th-worst among FBS teams. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 280.8 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.
Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends
Oklahoma State has allowed 4,973 Passing Yards since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12
Oklahoma State defense has allowed 84 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– most in the Big 12
Oklahoma State has allowed 84 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Oklahoma State has allowed 84 receptions for 20+ yards since the 2023 season– most in FBS
Oklahoma State defense has allowed 84 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2023 season– most among Power Conference Teams
Kansas State Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends
Kansas State has allowed 2.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (141 yards / 68 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7
Kansas State has tackled opponents for a loss on 27 of 121 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) this season– best in the Big 12; Average: 16%.
Kansas State has allowed 2.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (141 yards / 68 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– best in the Big 12; Average: 3.7
Kansas State opponents has averaged 6.9 Passing Attempts per TD (48 Pass Attempts/7 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 3.9
Kansas State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 33% (16 completions/48 attempts) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 53%
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