Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 18, 2022, 10:35 AM
  • Oklahoma (5-5) are -7.5 point favorites vs Oklahoma State (7-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 66 points

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (7-4) visit Gaylord Family Oklahoma Memorial Stadium to take on the Oklahoma Sooners (6-5) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Norman.

are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma is total points.

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Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma State
Oklahoma

Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oklahoma will win this game with 61.5% confidence.

Oklahoma State vs Oklahoma Spread Prediction for Week 12

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma State will cover the spread with 51.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma State and Oklahoma, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Oklahoma State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma State players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dominic Richardson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Spencer Sanders has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 away games (+3.45 Units / 108% ROI)
  • Spencer Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.40 Units / 19% ROI)

Best Oklahoma Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oklahoma players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Marvin Mims has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.65 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Eric Gray has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 games (+11.90 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.20 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Oklahoma State has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.84 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.55 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+2.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 45% ROI)

Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oklahoma State is 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 15.82% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.55 Units / 5.53% ROI
  • Oklahoma State is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.23% ROI

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oklahoma is 3-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -45.92% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 4-5 when betting the Over for -1.5 Units / -13.64% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 5-4 when betting the Under for +0.6 Units / 5.45% ROI

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

#11 Oklahoma State is 13-3 (.619) when allowing less than 3 sacks — 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .472

#11 Oklahoma State is 14-4 (.636) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

#11 Oklahoma State is 13-1 (.722) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .521

#11 Oklahoma State is 11-3 (.579) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

Oklahoma is 9-1 (.900) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 2nd-best in FBS; Average: .441

Oklahoma is 14-2 (.875) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .591

Oklahoma is 6-1 (.600) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .383

Oklahoma is 13-1 (.765) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2020 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .484

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma State vs. Oklahoma

Oklahoma State’s TEs has 0 receptions in 3 games (just 0.0 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for worst among FBS TEs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 22.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s WRs has been targeted 296 times this season — third-most among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 2,087 receiving yards this season — fifth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s WRs has been targeted 296 times this season — fifth-most among FBS WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 2,087 receiving yards this season — fifth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

#24 Oklahoma State TEs have averaged just 0 receptions per game (0/3) since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.4

#24 Oklahoma State TEs have been targeted 0.0 times per game (0/2) in the 2nd half since last season– tied for lowest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.7

#24 Oklahoma State RBs have fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

#24 Oklahoma State WRs have been targeted 52 times with 4-6 yards to go this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Oklahoma State’s TEs has 0 receptions in 3 games (just 0.0 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for worst among FBS TEs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 22.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged just 5.7 yards per reception (102 yards/18 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.8

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.2 receptions (17 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Oklahoma Skill Players have no touchdowns on 12 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.1

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (289 yards/13 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.7

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (289 yards/13 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

#24 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 20 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.

#24 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 22 of 64 rushing attempts (34% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%.

#24 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 8 of 20 rushing attempts (40% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

#24 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 22 of 64 rushing attempts (34% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.

#24 Oklahoma State has allowed first downs on 28% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%

Oklahoma Sooners Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma has forced 32 fumbles since last season– tied for 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

Oklahoma has allowed a passer rating of 250.4 in the Red Zone (19.0 Pass Attempts) this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 158.9

Oklahoma has allowed a passer rating of 250.4 in the Red Zone (19.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 163.6

Oklahoma has allowed 4.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (324 yards / 66 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.6

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 29 of 123 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.