Oklahoma State vs TCU Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:50 AM

– (2-4) are point favorites vs – (2-4)
Total (Over/Under): points
Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The Oklahoma State Cowboys (5-1) visit Amon G. Carter Stadium to take on the TCU Horned Frogs (6-0) on Oct. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Fort Worth.

– are betting favorites in Week 7, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Oklahoma State vs. TCU is total points.

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Oklahoma State vs. TCU Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 7

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Oklahoma State
TCU

Oklahoma State vs TCU Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 56.7% confidence.

Oklahoma State vs TCU Spread Prediction for Week 7

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 68.1% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma State and TCU, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Oklahoma State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma State players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Spencer Sanders has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 41% ROI)

Best TCU Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for TCU players for Week 7, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Max Duggan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 4 games (+5.05 Units / 98% ROI)

Quentin Johnston has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Taye Barber has hit the Receptions Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Derius Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.00 Units / 44% ROI)

Oklahoma State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Oklahoma State has hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 16 games (+11.70 Units / 24% ROI)

Oklahoma State have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 50% ROI)

Oklahoma State have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 32% ROI)

Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.95 Units / 59% ROI)

Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+3.95 Units / 41% ROI)

TCU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

TCU has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)

TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.90 Units / 66% ROI)

TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.88 Units / 61% ROI)

TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.25 Units / 52% ROI)

TCU have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 73% ROI)

Oklahoma State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Oklahoma State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Oklahoma State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Oklahoma State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record

TCU has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

TCU is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
TCU is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
TCU is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. TCU

#7 Oklahoma State is 10-1 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .411

#7 Oklahoma State is 12-1 (.706) when rushing for more than 100 yards — 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428

#7 Oklahoma State is 12-2 (.667) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .403

#7 Oklahoma State is 8-2 (.800) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

TCU: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

#17 TCU is 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — tied for 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .609

#17 TCU is 8-1 (.727) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .518

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma State vs. TCU

TCU has gained 3,987 yards on 284 receptions (14.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — best among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed just 11.3 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — third-best among Big 12 defenses.

TCU’s WRs have 270.2 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 304.0 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among P5 defenses.

TCU has 29 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for third-fewest among Big 12 skill players. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 27 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s TEs has 0 receptions in 2 games (just 0.0 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for worst among P5 TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed just 16.9 receptions per game since the 2021 season — second-best among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s WRs has 35 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — most among Big 12 WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed 26 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s WRs has 12 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for third-most among Power 5 WRs. TCU’s defense has allowed 6 receiving touchdowns this season — fifth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

#7 Oklahoma State RBs have fumbled 7 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

#7 Oklahoma State TEs have been targeted 0.0 times per game (0/2) in the 2nd half since last season– tied for lowest among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.7

#7 Oklahoma State WRs have been targeted 45 times in the 1st quarter this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

#7 Oklahoma State Skill Players have fumbled 9 times in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams

#7 Oklahoma State RBs have fumbled 7 times in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams

TCU Offensive Stats & Trends

#17 TCU WRs have averaged 17.8 yards per reception (642 yards/36 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1

TCU’s WRs have 270.2 receiving yards per game this season — second-best among Big 12 WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense has allowed 237.4 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — fifth-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State Cowboys Defensive Stats & Trends

#7 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 18 of 53 rushing attempts (34% TFL%) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

#7 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 142 of 588 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#7 Oklahoma State’s opponents has attempted two-point conversions on 29% of PATs this season– 2nd highest in FBS; Average: 6%

#7 Oklahoma State has tackled opponents for a loss on 142 of 588 rushing attempts (24% TFL%) since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 16%.

#7 Oklahoma State has allowed first downs on 28% of rush attempts on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%

TCU Horned Frogs Defensive Stats & Trends

#17 TCU has forced 4 fumbles on 565 carries (141.2 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 41.5

#17 TCU has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 19 of 407 attempts (5%) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

#17 TCU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 62 of 565 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

#17 TCU has forced 4 fumbles on 565 carries (141.2 Carries Per Fumble) since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 41.7

#17 TCU has tackled opponents for a loss on just 62 of 565 rushing attempts (11% TFL%) since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 16%.

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