Oklahoma State vs Tulsa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 1

• Oklahoma State Cowboys is a -13.5 point favorite vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane
• Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa Total (Over/Under): 58.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPNU

Oklahoma State (0-0) visit Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium to take on Tulsa (0-0) on Sep. 5 in Tulsa, OK. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:45 pm.

The Oklahoma State Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -13.5 (-108).

The Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Oklahoma State vs Tulsa Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oklahoma State will win this game with 81.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma State Cowboys and Tulsa Golden Hurricane, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oklahoma State vs Tulsa Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma State will cover the spread with 55.9% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Oklahoma State Best Bets Today

• Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+8.25 Units / 206% ROI)
• Oklahoma State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 92% ROI)
• Oklahoma State have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 60% ROI)
• Oklahoma State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.10 Units / 86% ROI)
• Oklahoma State have covered the Spread in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Tulsa Best Bets Today

• Tulsa have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
• Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• Tulsa has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Tulsa has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 3 games at home (+3.35 Units / 67% ROI)
• Tulsa have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)

Oklahoma State: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa

Oklahoma State was 2-5 (.286) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season– T-4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .578

Oklahoma State was 2-8 (.200) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-20th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Oklahoma State was 2-8 (.200) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .460

Oklahoma State was 2-8 (.200) when not forcing and recovering a fumble last season– 8th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .492

Tulsa: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma State

Tulsa was winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .314

Tulsa was winless (0-7) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .379

Tulsa was 2-9 (.182) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .454

Tulsa was winless (0-8) when throwing at least 1 interception last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .382

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma State vs. Tulsa

Tulsa’s WRs had just 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 2.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s WRs had just 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 2.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Tulsa’s WRs had just 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 2.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-worst among P5 defenses.

Oklahoma State’s WRs had just 0.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — 3rd-worst among Power 5 WRs. Tulsa’s defense allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State’s WRs had just 0.4 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-11th-worst among FBS WRs. Tulsa’s defense allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State had just 0.6 receiving touchdowns per game last season — worst among Big 12 skill players. Tulsa’s defense allowed 1.8 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-27th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma State Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State Skill Players averaged just 10.1 yards per reception (2,092 yards/208 catches) last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 11.9

Oklahoma State WRs averaged just 10.5 yards per reception (1,530 yards/146 catches) last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 13.3

Oklahoma State averaged a touchdown every 30.0 receptions (210 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Offenses; Average: 12.2

Oklahoma State WRs averaged a touchdown every 29.2 receptions (146 Rec/5 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.0

Oklahoma State TEs had no receptions on 1 targets in the Red Zone last season– worst among Big 12 Teams; Average: 60%

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa’s WRs had just 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 2.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa WRs averaged a touchdown every 23.3 receptions (140 Rec/6 TDs) last season– 8th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

Tulsa’s WRs had just 0.5 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-14th-worst among FBS WRs. Oklahoma State’s defense allowed 2.3 receiving touchdowns per game last season — T-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Tulsa Skill Players averaged just 9.4 yards per reception (396 yards/42 catches) on 3rd and long last season– T-7th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.9

Tulsa RBs had 24 receptions on 3rd down last season– T-2nd-most among FBS Teams

Oklahoma State Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma State allowed passes of 20+ yards on 50 of 339 attempts (15%) last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 10%

Oklahoma State had no interceptions and 13 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in the Big 12; Average: 6.4

Oklahoma State allowed passes of 20+ yards on 50 of 339 attempts (15%) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Oklahoma State allowed 13.6 yards per completion (3,024 yards/222 completions) last season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.2

Oklahoma State allowed 500.6 yards from scrimmage per game last season– worst in the Big 12; Average: 373.8

Tulsa Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa allowed 38 TD passes last season– most in FBS

Tulsa did not record a sack (36 pass attempts) in the Red Zone last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 15.0

Tulsa allowed 38 TD passes last season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Tulsa allowed 67 TDs last season– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 3.1

Tulsa allowed 2,272 Passing Yards in the 1st half last season– most in FBS

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