Oklahoma vs Tennessee Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

Tennessee Volunteers head coach Josh Heupel looks on during a team practice session ahead of the 2022 Orange Bowl, Tuesday, Dec. 27, 2022, in Miami Shores, Fla. Tennessee will face the Clemson Tigers in the Orange Bowl on Friday, Dec. 30.(AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell)
(AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell)
  • Tennessee is a -3 point favorite vs. Oklahoma
  • Oklahoma vs. Tennessee Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: ABC

Oklahoma (6-2) visit Neyland Stadium to take on Tennessee (6-2) on Nov. 1 in Knoxville, TN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Tennessee is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Oklahoma vs. Tennessee Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

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Oklahoma vs. Tennessee Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma+3 -11056.5 -105130
Tennessee -3 -11056.5 -115-155

Oklahoma vs Tennessee Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Tennessee will win this game with 58.5% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma and Tennessee, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oklahoma vs Tennessee Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 51.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+8.50 Units / 1% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.45 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.25 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.70 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.70 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Tennessee has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 14 games (+2.85 Units / 17% ROI)

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Oklahoma is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 3.1% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 1-7 when betting the Over for -6.7 Units / -76.14% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 7-1 when betting the Under for +5.9 Units / 67.05% ROI

Tennessee Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tennessee iss 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.52% ROI).

  • Tennessee is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 11.87% ROI
  • Tennessee is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
  • Tennessee is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Tennessee

Tennessee allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– T-most in FBS

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Tennessee has allowed 31 TDs this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.5

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– most in the SEC

Tennessee: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632

Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma vs. Tennessee

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632

Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631

Tennessee allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– T-most in FBS

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Tennessee has allowed 31 TDs this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.5

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– most in the SEC

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– T-most in FBS

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Tennessee has allowed 31 TDs this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.5

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– most in the SEC

Tennessee Offensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632

Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631

Oklahoma Defensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee allowed 5 TD passes last week– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– T-most in FBS

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Tennessee has allowed 31 TDs this season– worst in the SEC; Average: 2.5

Tennessee has forced 14 fumbles this season– most in the SEC

Tennessee Defensive Stats & Trends

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .632

Tennessee was undefeated (9-0) when making 7 or more explosive plays last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .659

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-best in FBS; Average: .604

Tennessee was undefeated (6-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game last season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .631


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.