Oklahoma vs Texas Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:08 AM
  • Oklahoma (6-5) are -2 point favorites vs Texas Tech (6-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): 64.5 points

The Oklahoma Sooners (6-5) visit Jones AT&T Stadium to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders (6-5) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Lubbock.

Oklahoma are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -2 (-110).

The Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech Over/Under is 64.5 total points.

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Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma-2 -11064.5 -110-125
Texas Tech +2 -11064.5 -110+105

Oklahoma vs Texas Tech Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oklahoma will win this game with 53.1% confidence.

Oklahoma vs Texas Tech Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 50.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma and Texas Tech, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Oklahoma Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Eric Gray has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)

Best Texas Tech Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Texas Tech players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Donovan Smith has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Donovan Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.95 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+9.75 Units / 92% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.55 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+5.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+5.20 Units / 22% ROI)

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma has gone 4-6 against the spread this college football season (-2.55 Units / 0% ROI).

  • Oklahoma is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -36.8% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -21.49% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 13.22% ROI

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech has gone 6-4 against the spread this college football season (+1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI).

  • Texas Tech is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.35 Units / 20.17% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 7-3 when betting the Over for +3.7 Units / 33.64% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 3-7 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Texas Tech

Oklahoma is 10-1 (.833) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-best in FBS; Average: .504

Oklahoma is 12-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 9th-best in FBS; Average: .553

Oklahoma is 9-4 (.529) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 15th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

Oklahoma is 12-2 (.857) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .597

Texas Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Oklahoma

Texas Tech is 5-1 (.833) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .626

Texas Tech is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .619

Texas Tech is 3-10 (.188) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .345

Texas Tech is 3-10 (.176) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .368

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma vs. Texas Tech

Texas Tech’s WRs has been targeted 310 times this season — fourth-most among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 2,468 receiving yards this season — fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech has been targeted 402 times this season — fifth-most among Power 5 skill players. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 2,468 receiving yards this season — fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged just 5.5 yards per reception (105 yards/19 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

Oklahoma WRs have averaged just 6.2 yards per reception (50 yards/8 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.1

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged 22.2 yards per reception (289 yards/13 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.7

Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 4.5 receptions (18 Rec/4 TDs) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.1

Oklahoma WRs have averaged just 6.2 yards per reception (50 yards/8 catches) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.7

Texas Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech’s WRs has been targeted 310 times this season — fourth-most among Power 5 WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 2,468 receiving yards this season — fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech WRs have no touchdowns on 32 receptions in close and late situations this season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.4

Texas Tech has been targeted 402 times this season — fifth-most among Power 5 skill players. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 2,468 receiving yards this season — fourth-most among Big 12 defenses.

Texas Tech WRs have just one touchdown on 56 receptions in close and late situations since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.5

Texas Tech QBs have rushed for 4 TDs in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Oklahoma Sooners Defensive Stats & Trends

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 31 of 126 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 4th best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 57 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 15 of 57 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has tackled opponents for a loss on 31 of 126 rushing attempts (25% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

Oklahoma has allowed 276 first down receptions since last season– 4th most among Power 5 Teams

Texas Tech Red Raiders Defensive Stats & Trends

Texas Tech has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

Texas Tech has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Texas Tech has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (15 completions/39 attempts) in the Red Zone — 5th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 53%

Texas Tech has allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

Texas Tech has averaged a sack every 6.5 pass attempts (39 Pass Attempts/6 Sacks) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.