Oklahoma vs Tulsa Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 3

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Tulsa safety Kendarin Ray (1) runs during an NCAA football game against the Navy Midshipmen on Saturday, Oct. 8 2022, in Annapolis, Md. (AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr.)
(AP Photo/Daniel Kucin Jr.)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 16, 2023, 11:13 AM
  • Oklahoma is a -27.5 point favorite vs. Tulsa
  • Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The Oklahoma Sooners visit Skelly Field at H.A. Chapman Stadium to take on the Tulsa Golden Hurricane on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Tulsa.

Oklahoma is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-110).

The Oklahoma vs. Tulsa Over/Under is 58.5 total points.

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Oklahoma vs. Tulsa Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 3

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oklahoma-28.5 -11058.5 -110-5000
Tulsa +28.5 -11058.5 -110+1400

Oklahoma vs Tulsa Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oklahoma will win this game with 95.0% confidence.

Oklahoma vs Tulsa Spread Prediction for Week 3

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oklahoma will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oklahoma and Tulsa, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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  • Oklahoma has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.95 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games (+3.55 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Oklahoma has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 away games (+3.00 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Oklahoma have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games (+2.05 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tulsa has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Best Oklahoma Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oklahoma players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 5 away games (+5.10 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Dillon Gabriel has hit the Passing Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jalil Farooq has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 5 games (+0.55 Units / 9% ROI)

Oklahoma Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oklahoma is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Oklahoma is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 13.42% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Oklahoma is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Tulsa Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Tulsa is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).

  • Tulsa is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.3 Units / -7.16% ROI
  • Tulsa is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.15 Units / -100% ROI
  • Tulsa is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 88.89% ROI

Oklahoma: Keys to the Game vs. Tulsa

#20 Oklahoma is 10-3 (.769) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .444

#20 Oklahoma is 14-2 (.824) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2021 season– 7th-best in FBS; Average: .549

#20 Oklahoma is 12-4 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .603

#20 Oklahoma is 6-1 (.667) when converting more than 50% of third down conversions since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .435

Matchup Notes for Oklahoma vs. Tulsa

Tulsa’s QBs has thrown for 3,983 passing yards in 14 games (284.5 YPG) since the 2022 season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 278.7 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s WRs has gained 3,287 yards on 228 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 31st-best among FBS WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 12.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2022 season — tied for 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s WRs has gained 261 yards on 17 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

Oklahoma’s offense has thrown for 598 passing yards in 2 games (299.0 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 316.0 passing yards per game this season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 16.7% of 60 attempts this season — tied for 21st-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.6% of attempts this season — tied for 18th-best among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma’s TEs has 4 receptions in 2 games (just 2.0 per game) this season — tied for second-worst among Big 12 TEs. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game this season — 31st-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma Offensive Stats & Trends

#20 Oklahoma have rushed for 6 TDs in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-most among FBS Offenses

#19 Oklahoma Skill Players have averaged 20.4 yards per reception (510 yards/25 catches) with over 10 yards to go since last season– 2nd best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.4

#20 Oklahoma Skill Players averaged 21.6 yards per reception (302 yards/14 catches) with over 10 yards to go in the 2022 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.6

Oklahoma’s offense has thrown for 598 passing yards in 2 games (299.0 YPG) this season — 28th-best among FBS offenses. Tulsa’s defense has allowed 316.0 passing yards per game this season — tied for 16th-worst among FBS defenses.

#20 Oklahoma RBs have rushed for 4 TDs in the Red Zone this season– tied for 4th-most among FBS Teams

Tulsa Offensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa’s QBs has thrown for 3,983 passing yards in 14 games (284.5 YPG) since the 2022 season — 23rd-best among FBS teams. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 278.7 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s WRs has gained 3,287 yards on 228 receptions (14.4 YPR) since the 2022 season — tied for 31st-best among FBS WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 12.2 Yards Per Reception to WRs since the 2022 season — tied for 35th-best among FBS defenses.

Tulsa’s WRs has gained 261 yards on 17 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed just 10.5 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for fourth-best among Big 12 defenses.

Tulsa’s offense has thrown for 3,685 passing yards in 14 games (263.2 YPG) since the 2022 season — 33rd-best among FBS offenses. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 278.7 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — third-worst among Big 12 defenses.

Tulsa’s WRs has gained 261 yards on 17 receptions (15.4 YPR) this season — tied for 27th-best among FBS WRs. Oklahoma’s defense has allowed 13.9 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — tied for 32nd-worst among FBS defenses.

Oklahoma Sooners Defensive Stats & Trends

#19 Oklahoma has forced 35 fumbles since the 2021 season– 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

#19 Oklahoma has allowed 343 first down receptions since the 2021 season– most among Power 5 Teams

#19 Oklahoma has allowed 7,794 Passing Yards since the 2021 season– 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

#19 Oklahoma has allowed 343 first down receptions since the 2021 season– 5th most in FBS

#20 Oklahoma had 16 interceptions in the 2022 season– 3rd most among Power 5 Teams

Tulsa Golden Hurricane Defensive Stats & Trends

Tulsa allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 61%

Tulsa allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short in the 2022 season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 60%

Tulsa has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 43 rushing attempts (28% TFL%) this season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Tulsa has sacked opposing QBs on 15% of pass attempts (4/26) this season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: 6%

Tulsa has averaged 4.0 sacks per game this season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: 2.0


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.