Old Dominion vs South Alabama Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:02 AM
  • South Alabama (9-2) are -16 point favorites vs Old Dominion (3-8)
  • Total (Over/Under): 48 points

The Old Dominion Monarchs (3-9) visit Hancock Whitney Stadium to take on the South Alabama Jaguars (10-2) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EST in Mobile.

are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The Old Dominion vs. South Alabama Over/Under is total points.

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Old Dominion vs. South Alabama Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Old Dominion
South Alabama

Old Dominion vs South Alabama Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts South Alabama will win this game with 74.1% confidence.

Old Dominion vs South Alabama Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Old Dominion will cover the spread with 50.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Old Dominion and South Alabama, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+10.50 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.43 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Old Dominion has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 away games (+4.15 Units / 44% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games at home (+7.05 Units / 47% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 16 games (+5.85 Units / 32% ROI)
  • South Alabama have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
  • South Alabama has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)

Old Dominion Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Old Dominion has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Old Dominion is 3-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -16.4% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 3-8 when betting the Over for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI
  • Old Dominion is 8-3 when betting the Under for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI

South Alabama Against the Spread (ATS) Record

South Alabama has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • South Alabama is 9-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 18.39% ROI
  • South Alabama is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • South Alabama is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Old Dominion: Keys to the Game vs. South Alabama

Old Dominion is 1-10 (.091) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-worst in FBS; Average: .443

Old Dominion is 1-12 (.077) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs since the 2021 season– 7th-worst in FBS; Average: .388

South Alabama: Keys to the Game vs. Old Dominion

South Alabama is undefeated (6-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — 8th-best in FBS; Average: .511

South Alabama is 7-1 (.778) when rushing at least 4 yards in a play 10 or more times — tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .497

Old Dominion Offensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion RBs have averaged 7.5 Yards per Carry (246 yards/33 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Old Dominion WRs have 13 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Old Dominion QBs have 11 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Old Dominion Skill Players have fumbled 5 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Old Dominion Skill Players have 14 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter this season– most among FBS Teams

South Alabama Offensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama Skill Players have averaged just 8.9 yards per reception (481 yards/54 catches) with over 10 yards to go since last season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.5

South Alabama WRs have caught 73 of 110 passes (66% Reception Pct) on 3rd down since last season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 56%

South Alabama Skill Players have caught 75 of 106 passes (71% Reception Pct) in close and late situations since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 60%

South Alabama WRs have caught 21 of 28 passes (75% Reception Pct) in close and late situations this season– 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 57%

South Alabama RBs have rushed for 533 yards in the 1st quarter this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Old Dominion Monarchs Defensive Stats & Trends

Old Dominion has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most among Non-Power 5 Teams

Old Dominion has sacked opponents 7 times in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Old Dominion has allowed 2.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (266 yards / 101 touches) in the Red Zone this season– tied for 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.6

Old Dominion has allowed 23 rushing TDs on 167 carries (7.3 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.8

Old Dominion has allowed 210.5 yards from scrimmage per game to RBs this season– 2nd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 151.0

South Alabama Jaguars Defensive Stats & Trends

South Alabama has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (62 completions/134 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 59%

South Alabama has allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 23 of 346 attempts (7%) — 3rd-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 11%

South Alabama has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 23 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

South Alabama has allowed 296.1 yards from scrimmage per game this season– 4th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 383.3

South Alabama has allowed 28.8 carries per game (288 carries / 10 games) this season– 2nd lowest among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 37.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.