Oregon vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 06, 2022, 2:16 PM
  • (2-4) are point favorites vs (2-4)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on Pac-12 Network

The Oregon Ducks (5-1) visit Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats (3-4) on Oct. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00pm EDT in Tucson.

are betting favorites in Week 6, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Oregon vs. Arizona is total points.

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Oregon vs. Arizona Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 6

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oregon
Arizona

Oregon vs Arizona Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 65.0% confidence.

Oregon vs Arizona Spread Prediction for Week 6

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 59.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and Arizona, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Oregon Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon players for Week 6, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chase Cota has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Bo Nix has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Bo Nix has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Travis Dye has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.45 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+7.35 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+6.05 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games at home (+3.00 Units / 30% ROI)

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oregon is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Oregon is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Oregon is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Arizona is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Arizona is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Arizona is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Arizona

#13 Oregon is 8-3 (.571) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .402

#13 Oregon is 10-2 (.667) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

#13 Oregon is 11-2 (.786) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush since the 2020 season– 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .513

#13 Oregon is 13-5 (.684) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2020 season– tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .480

Arizona: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

Arizona is winless (0-11) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .465

Arizona is winless (0-13) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

Arizona is winless (0-9) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .431

Arizona is winless (0-8) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .442

Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. Arizona

Arizona has 9 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for second-most among Power 5 skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for most among P5 defenses.

Arizona has 12 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fifth-most among Power 5 skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed 10 receiving touchdowns this season — most among P5 defenses.

Arizona has 9 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for second-most among Power 5 skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for most among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon’s tight end unit has 9 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among P5 TE corps. Arizona’s defense has allowed 22 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for third-most among FBS defenses.

Oregon’s tight end unit has 5 receiving touchdowns this season — fourth-most among FBS TE corps. Arizona’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for third-most among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon’s backfield has 28 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-most among FBS backfields. Arizona’s defense has allowed 23 rushing TDs since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

#12 Oregon TEs have been targeted 13 times in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

#12 Oregon TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

#12 Oregon WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.3 receptions (16 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

#12 Oregon WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.3 receptions (16 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 5th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

#12 Oregon TEs have 8 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Arizona Offensive Stats & Trends

Arizona has 9 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for second-most among Power 5 skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for most among P5 defenses.

Arizona has 12 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fifth-most among Power 5 skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed 10 receiving touchdowns this season — most among P5 defenses.

Arizona RBs have rushed for 7 TDs on 377 carries (53.9 Carries Per TD) since last season– 3rd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.4

Arizona have gone for two on 15% of PATs since last season– highest among Power 5 Offenses; Average: 4%

Arizona has 9 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for second-most among Power 5 skill players. Oregon’s defense has allowed 7 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — tied for most among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends

#12 Oregon has allowed 26 TD passes in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#12 Oregon has allowed 7.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (173 yards / 24 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd worst in FBS; Average: 3.7

#12 Oregon has allowed 24 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– most in FBS

#12 Oregon has allowed 7 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

#12 Oregon has allowed 26 TD passes in the Red Zone since last season– most in FBS

Arizona Wildcats Defensive Stats & Trends

Arizona has allowed 8 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS

Arizona has allowed 5.3 touchdowns per interception (32 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 1.7

Arizona has no interceptions and 22 TD passes allowed in the Red Zone since last season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.5

Arizona has allowed 8 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Arizona has allowed a passer rating of 261.1 in the Red Zone (50.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 160.2


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.