Oregon vs California Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:30 PM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on

The Oregon Ducks (7-1) visit FTX Field at California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears (3-5) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Berkeley.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Oregon vs. California is total points.

Bet now on California vs Oregon & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Oregon vs. California Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oregon
California

Oregon vs California Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 68.4% confidence.

Oregon vs California Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 62.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and California, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Oregon Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Oregon is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Oregon is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Oregon is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

California Against the Spread (ATS) Record

California has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • California is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • California is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • California is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. California

#10 Oregon is 10-1 (.833) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .398

#10 Oregon is 13-3 (.684) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .425

#10 Oregon is 12-2 (.706) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game — tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .441

#10 Oregon is 11-3 (.647) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422

California: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

California is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards — 12th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .395

California is 2-10 (.154) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 9th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .358

California is 2-9 (.182) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 11th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .413

California is 2-10 (.167) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416

Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. California

California’s TEs has 23 receptions in 7 games (just 3.3 per game) this season — tied for fifth-worst among Pac-12 TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 5.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — worst among FBS defenses.

California’s WRs have 207.4 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among Pac-12 WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 261.4 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

California’s WRs has gained 3,354 yards on 258 receptions (13.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon’s TEs has 75 receptions in 21 games (just 3.6 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 TEs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon’s WRs has gained 3,253 yards on 238 receptions (13.7 YPR) since the 2021 season — second-best among Pac-12 WRs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 12.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon’s TEs has gained 388 yards on 34 receptions (11.4 YPR) this season — fifth-best among Pac-12 TEs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 12.5 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

#10 Oregon TEs have caught 5 touchdown passes in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

#10 Oregon WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.3 receptions (16 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0

#10 Oregon TEs have been targeted 14 times in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

#10 Oregon WRs have averaged a touchdown every 5.3 receptions (16 Rec/3 TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.0

Oregon’s TEs has 75 receptions in 21 games (just 3.6 per game) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 TEs. Colorado’s defense has allowed 20.2 receptions per game since the 2021 season — fifth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

California Offensive Stats & Trends

California’s TEs has 23 receptions in 7 games (just 3.3 per game) this season — tied for fifth-worst among Pac-12 TEs. USC’s defense has allowed 5.2 receptions per game to TEs this season — worst among FBS defenses.

California WRs have no touchdowns on 37 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 11.7

California’s WRs have 207.4 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among Pac-12 WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 261.4 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 defenses.

California WRs have no touchdowns on 37 receptions in close and late situations since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

California’s WRs has gained 3,354 yards on 258 receptions (13.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Pac-12 WRs. USC’s defense has allowed 12.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for worst among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends

#10 Oregon has allowed 26 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#10 Oregon has allowed 27 TD passes in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

#10 Oregon has allowed first downs on 35% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%

#10 Oregon has allowed first downs on 35% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%

#10 Oregon has allowed 27 TD passes in the Red Zone since last season– most in FBS

California Golden Bears Defensive Stats & Trends

California has not recorded a sack (18 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 17.0

California has allowed first downs on 24% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since last season– 5th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on California vs Oregon and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.