Oregon vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – College Football Playoffs

BetMGM Betting Jan 06, 2026, 12:01 PM

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Indiana head coach Curt Cignetti watches from the sideline as his team plays Michigan during the first half of an NCAA college football game in Bloomington, Ind., Saturday, Nov. 9, 2024.

(AP Photo/AJ Mast)

Indiana is a -3.5 point favorite vs. Oregon
Oregon vs. Indiana Total (Over/Under): 46.5 points
Peach Bowl TV Channel: ESPN

Oregon (13-1) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on Indiana (14-0) on Jan. 9 in Atlanta, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EST.

Indiana is a betting favorite in the Peach Bowl, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-115).

The Oregon vs. Indiana Over/Under is 46.5 total points.

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Oregon vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

Oregon vs Indiana Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this playoff game with 62.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and Indiana, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oregon vs Indiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

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Oregon Best Bets Today

Indiana has hit the Moneyline in their last 13 games (+14.75 Units / 5% ROI)
Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.80 Units / 2% ROI)
Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+10.50 Units / 10% ROI)
Indiana has hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.85 Units / 59% ROI)
Indiana have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 32% ROI)

Indiana Best Bets Today

Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 14 games (+11.00 Units / 4% ROI)
Oregon has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 3% ROI)
Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+8.05 Units / 11% ROI)
Oregon have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.75 Units / 45% ROI)
Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.45 Units / 46% ROI)

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon is 9-5 against the spread this college football season (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).

Oregon is 13-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 4.08% ROI
Oregon is 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
Oregon is 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana iss 9-5 against the spread this college football season (+3.5 Units / 22.73% ROI).

Indiana is 13-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.75 Units / 5.44% ROI
Indiana is 7-6 when betting the Over for +0.35 Units / 2.27% ROI
Indiana is 6-7 when betting the Under for -1.7 Units / -11.07% ROI

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

Oregon TEs were targeted 24 times in the Red Zone last season– most among Big Ten Teams

Oregon TEs have 15 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– most among Big Ten Teams

Oregon RBs have averaged 7.0 Yards per Carry (2,028 yards/291 carries) this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Oregon Skill Players have averaged 17.3 yards per reception (156 yards/9 catches) on 3rd and short this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.7

Oregon have thrown 13 TDs and just one interception in the 1st half this season– T-3rd-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 2.4

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (60 completions/130 attempts) in the 1st half this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 64%

Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (126 completions/248 attempts) this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 63%

Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 51% (126 completions/248 attempts) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 62%

Oregon has allowed a Completion Pct of just 46% (60 completions/130 attempts) in the 1st half this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 63%

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%

Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. Indiana