Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • Oregon (9-2) are -3 point favorites vs Oregon State (8-3)
  • Total (Over/Under): 58 points
  • Watch the game on ESPN Networks

The Oregon Ducks (9-2) visit Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers (8-3) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Corvallis.

Oregon are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).

The Oregon vs. Oregon State Over/Under is 58 total points.

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Oregon vs. Oregon State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oregon-3 -11058 -110-175
Oregon State +3 -11058 -110+140

Oregon vs Oregon State Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 59.5% confidence.

Oregon vs Oregon State Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 66.8% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and Oregon State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Oregon Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Oregon players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Bo Nix has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Terrance Ferguson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Bo Nix has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Mar’Keise Irving has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Troy Franklin has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Mar’Keise Irving has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.60 Units / 23% ROI)

Best Oregon State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Oregon State players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Chance Nolan has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.10 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Chance Nolan has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tre’Shaun Harrison has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Chance Nolan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+9.00 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+6.80 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Oregon have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 18 of their last 22 games (+13.65 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 73% ROI)
  • Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 8 games at home (+8.15 Units / 91% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.25 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Oregon State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 8 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon has gone 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI).

  • Oregon is 7-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 4.45% ROI
  • Oregon is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Oregon is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon State has gone 8-2 against the spread this college football season (+5.8 Units / 52.73% ROI).

  • Oregon State is 7-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 10.99% ROI
  • Oregon State is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Oregon State is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State

#10 Oregon is 12-3 (.706) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

#10 Oregon is 12-2 (.800) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .410

#10 Oregon is 16-3 (.762) when making 7 or more explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .538

#10 Oregon is 15-3 (.833) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .590

Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

#22 Oregon State is 2-5 (.286) when in a one score game since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .495

#22 Oregon State is 9-1 (.818) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– 15th-best in FBS; Average: .581

#22 Oregon State is 7-1 (.778) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 13th-best in FBS; Average: .504

#22 Oregon State is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– tied for best in FBS; Average: .560

Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. Oregon State

Oregon’s TEs has 8 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — second-most among P5 TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 5 receiving touchdowns in the Red Zone this season — fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon’s TEs has 9 receiving touchdowns this season — tied for fourth-most among FBS TEs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed 8 receiving touchdowns this season — fewest among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon’s RBs have 55.1 receiving yards per game this season — fifth-best among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense has allowed just 223.2 receiving yards per game this season — third-best among Pac-12 defenses.

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

#10 Oregon TEs have been targeted 22 times in the Red Zone — most among Power 5 Teams

#10 Oregon TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes in the Red Zone — 2nd-most among Power 5 Teams

#10 Oregon TEs have 15 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among FBS Teams

#10 Oregon TEs have caught 8 touchdown passes in the Red Zone — 4th-most among FBS Teams

#10 Oregon TEs have 15 receptions in the Red Zone this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends

#22 Oregon State RBs have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams

#22 Oregon State WRs have averaged 21.6 yards per reception (108 yards/5 catches) on 3rd and short since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.8

#22 Oregon State RBs have no touchdowns on 48 receptions since last season– tied for worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.9

#22 Oregon State WRs have averaged 18.7 yards per reception (280 yards/15 catches) in short yardage situations since last season– 3rd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.9

#22 Oregon State Skill Players have fumbled 4 times in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Oregon Ducks Defensive Stats & Trends

#10 Oregon has averaged a sack every 37.1 pass attempts (371 Pass Attempts/10 Sacks) — worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14.7

#10 Oregon has averaged a sack every 37.1 pass attempts (371 Pass Attempts/10 Sacks) — 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

#10 Oregon has allowed first downs on 35% of rush attempts on 3rd and long since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 15%

#10 Oregon has averaged a sack every 25.9 pass attempts (854 Pass Attempts/33 Sacks) since the 2021 season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.2

#10 Oregon has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (33/854) since last season– tied for 4th worst in FBS; Average: 7%

Oregon State Beavers Defensive Stats & Trends

#22 Oregon State opponents has averaged 44.8 Passing Attempts per TD (358 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 20.8

#22 Oregon State opponents has averaged 44.8 Passing Attempts per TD (358 Pass Attempts/8 Passing TDs) this season– 4th best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.7

#22 Oregon State has sacked opposing QBs on just 4% of pass attempts (33/788) since last season– 4th worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 7%

#22 Oregon State has allowed 26.3 carries per game (263 carries / 10 games) this season– tied for lowest in FBS; Average: 36.4

#22 Oregon State has allowed 8 touchdowns on 211 completions (26.4 Completions Per TD) this season– 5th best in FBS; Average: 12.5


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.