Oregon vs Rutgers Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

Rutgers head coach Greg Schiano watches from the sideline during the second half of a NCAA college football game against Ohio State, Saturday, Nov. 4, 2023, in Piscataway, N.J. Ohio State won 35-16. (AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
(AP Photo/Noah K. Murray)
  • Oregon is a -17 point favorite vs. Rutgers
  • Oregon vs. Rutgers Total (Over/Under): 60.5 points
  • TV Channel: BTN

Oregon (5-1) visit SHI Stadium to take on Rutgers (3-3) on Oct. 18 in Piscataway, NJ. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:30pm EDT.

Oregon is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -17 (-110).

The Oregon vs. Rutgers Over/Under is 60.5 total points.

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Oregon vs. Rutgers Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Oregon-17 -11060.5 -110-900
Rutgers +17 -11060.5 -110600

Oregon vs Rutgers Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Oregon will win this game with 78.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Oregon and Rutgers, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Oregon vs Rutgers Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Oregon has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+9.00 Units / 3% ROI)
  • Oregon has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.05 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Oregon have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Oregon have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 14 games (+3.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Oregon have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+10.45 Units / 6% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.45 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)

Oregon Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Oregon is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Oregon is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 1.83% ROI
  • Oregon is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Oregon is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers iss 3-3 against the spread this college football season (-0.3 Units / -4.5% ROI).

  • Rutgers is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -5.95% ROI
  • Rutgers is 5-1 when betting the Over for +4 Units / 62.5% ROI
  • Rutgers is 1-5 when betting the Under for -4.6 Units / -67.65% ROI

Oregon: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Rutgers was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 16th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Rutgers is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Oregon has allowed opponents to catch just 316 of 569 passes (56% Reception Pct) since the 2024 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 63%

Oregon opponents has averaged 50.0 Passing Attempts per TD (150 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 22.0

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (17 completions/40 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 55%

Matchup Notes for Oregon vs. Rutgers

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Oregon has allowed opponents to catch just 316 of 569 passes (56% Reception Pct) since the 2024 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 63%

Oregon opponents has averaged 50.0 Passing Attempts per TD (150 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 22.0

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (17 completions/40 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 55%

Rutgers was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 16th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Rutgers is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Oregon Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 16th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Rutgers is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Oregon has allowed opponents to catch just 316 of 569 passes (56% Reception Pct) since the 2024 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 63%

Oregon opponents has averaged 50.0 Passing Attempts per TD (150 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 22.0

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (17 completions/40 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 55%

Oregon Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers was 1-5 (.167) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– 16th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Rutgers is 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2024 season– 20th-worst in FBS; Average: .450

Rutgers was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-31st-best in FBS; Average: .602

Rutgers was 6-4 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times last season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .429

Rutgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 59%

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 30% (3 completions/10 attempts) on 3rd and short last season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Oregon has allowed opponents to catch just 316 of 569 passes (56% Reception Pct) since the 2024 season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 63%

Oregon opponents has averaged 50.0 Passing Attempts per TD (150 Pass Attempts/3 Passing TDs) this season– T-8th-best in FBS; Average: 22.0

Oregon allowed a Completion Pct of just 42% (17 completions/40 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 55%


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