- The Oregon State Beavers are a -10.5 point favorite vs. the UTEP Miners
- Oregon State vs. UTEP Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: MW+
Oregon State (1-2) visit Sun Bowl to take on UTEP (1-2) on Sep. 26 in El Paso, TX. Kickoff is scheduled for 9:00 pm.
The Oregon State Beavers are betting favorites in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Oregon State vs. UTEP Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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Oregon State vs. UTEP Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Oregon State | -10.5 -110 | 55.5 -110 | -450 |
| UTEP | +10.5 -108 | 55.5 -108 | +350 |
Oregon State vs UTEP Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 71.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Oregon State Beavers and the UTEP Miners, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Oregon State vs UTEP Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Oregon State will cover the spread with 53.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Oregon State Best Bets Today
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.40 Units / 10% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 11 games (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
UTEP Best Bets Today
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 11 games (+4.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- UTEP has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.20 Units / 17% ROI)
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon State Beavers is 3-0 against the spread this college football season (+3 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Oregon State is 1-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -10% ROI
- Oregon State is 3-0 when betting the Over for +3 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Oregon State is 0-3 when betting the Under for -3.3 Units / -100% ROI
UTEP Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UTEP Miners is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- UTEP is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 2.86% ROI
- UTEP is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
- UTEP is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
Oregon State: Keys to the Game vs. UTEP
Oregon State is winless (0-9) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .384
Oregon State is 1-6 (.143) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .531
Oregon State is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .265
Oregon State is 1-8 (.111) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards this season– T-11th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
UTEP: Keys to the Game vs. Oregon State
UTEP is winless (0-7) when not forcing and recovering a fumble this season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .441
UTEP is winless (0-7) when not forcing and recovering a fumble this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .484
UTEP was 1-8 (.111) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
UTEP is winless (0-9) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Matchup Notes for Oregon State vs. UTEP
UTEP’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense allowed 13.4 RAC last season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense allowed 9.5 RAC to RBs last season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
UTEP’s RBs averaged just 5.9 yards after the catch last season — T-21st-worst among FBS RBs. Oregon State’s defense allowed 13.4 RAC last season — 3rd-worst among NonP5 defenses.
Oregon State’s WRs had 177 receptions in 12 games (14.8 per game) last season — best among Pac-12 WRs. UTEP’s defense allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s WRs averaged 25.1 targets per game last season — 19th-highest among FBS WRs. UTEP’s defense allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s WRs averaged 25.1 targets per game last season — highest among Pac-12 WRs. UTEP’s defense allowed 13.4 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon State Offensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State WRs averaged a touchdown every 30.4 receptions (152 Rec/5 TDs) last season– 3rd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2
Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.7
Oregon State TEs averaged 21.9 yards per reception (175 yards/8 catches) on 1st down last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.3
Oregon State Skill Players averaged a touchdown every 30.9 receptions (216 Rec/7 TDs) last season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
Oregon State WRs averaged a touchdown every 30.4 receptions (152 Rec/5 TDs) last season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 10.9
UTEP Offensive Stats & Trends
UTEP TEs have averaged 20.4 yards per reception (184 yards/9 catches) in the 1st half this season– 3rd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9
UTEP RBs were targeted 9.2 times per game (111/12) last season– T-highest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4
UTEP have thrown 20 interceptions this season– T-most among FBS Offenses
UTEP have thrown 1.7 interceptions per game (20/12) this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 0.8
UTEP RBs picked up first downs on 13 receptions on 3rd down last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Oregon State Defensive Stats & Trends
Oregon State averaged a sack every 45.3 pass attempts (317 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.5
Oregon State allowed first downs on 7% of pass attempts in close and late situations last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 31%
Oregon State sacked opposing QBs on just 2% of pass attempts (7/317) last season– worst in FBS; Average: 7%
Oregon State averaged 0.6 sacks per game last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.2
Oregon State averaged a sack every 45.3 pass attempts (317 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.1
UTEP Defensive Stats & Trends
UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.
UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11%.
UTEP tackled opponents for a loss on 9 of 25 rushing attempts (36% TFL%) on 3rd and short last season– best in FBS; Average: 11%.
UTEP has tackled opponents for a loss on 20 of 74 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 14%.
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