- Iowa is a -3 point favorite vs. Penn St
- Penn State vs. Iowa Total (Over/Under): 39.5 points
- TV Channel: PEAC
Penn State (3-3) visit Kinnick Stadium to take on Iowa (4-2) on Oct. 18 in Iowa City, IA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Iowa is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -3 (-105).
The Penn State vs. Iowa Over/Under is 39.5 total points.
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Penn State vs. Iowa Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Penn State | +3 -115 | 39.5 -110 | 130 |
| Iowa | -3 -105 | 39.5 -110 | -155 |
Penn State vs Iowa Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Iowa will win this game with 57.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Penn St and Iowa, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Penn State vs Iowa Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 55.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Penn State Best Bets Today
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.27 Units / 28% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Iowa Best Bets Today
- Iowa has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 55% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+2.94 Units / 46% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Iowa has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.40 Units / 2% ROI)
- Iowa have covered the 1H Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn St is 0-6 against the spread this college football season (-6.6 Units / -100% ROI).
- Penn State is 0-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -41.85 Units / -100% ROI
- Penn State is 4-2 when betting the Over for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Penn State is 2-4 when betting the Under for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
Iowa Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa iss 4-1 against the spread this college football season (+2.94 Units / 45.16% ROI).
- Iowa is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Iowa is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Iowa is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.15% ROI
Penn State: Keys to the Game vs. Iowa
Penn State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State TEs had 22 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs were targeted 169 times last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs picked up first downs on 36 receptions on 1st down last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Iowa: Keys to the Game vs. Penn State
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (852 yards/97 catches) this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.0
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 7.4 yards per reception (229 yards/31 catches) on 1st down this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.5
Iowa’s TEs has gained 141 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.0 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among P5 TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa’s TEs has gained 141 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Matchup Notes for Penn State vs. Iowa
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (852 yards/97 catches) this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.0
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 7.4 yards per reception (229 yards/31 catches) on 1st down this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.5
Iowa’s TEs has gained 141 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.0 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among P5 TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa’s TEs has gained 141 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State TEs had 22 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs were targeted 169 times last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs picked up first downs on 36 receptions on 1st down last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State Offensive Stats & Trends
Penn State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State TEs had 22 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs were targeted 169 times last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs picked up first downs on 36 receptions on 1st down last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Iowa Offensive Stats & Trends
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (852 yards/97 catches) this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.0
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 7.4 yards per reception (229 yards/31 catches) on 1st down this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.5
Iowa’s TEs has gained 141 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.0 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among P5 TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa’s TEs has gained 141 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Penn State Defensive Stats & Trends
Penn State TEs caught 11 touchdown passes last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Penn State TEs had 22 receptions for 20 or more yards last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs were targeted 169 times last season– 2nd-most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards in the 4th quarter since the 2024 season– most among FBS Teams
Penn State TEs picked up first downs on 36 receptions on 1st down last season– most among Big Ten Teams
Iowa Defensive Stats & Trends
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 8.8 yards per reception (852 yards/97 catches) this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.0
Iowa Skill Players have averaged just 7.4 yards per reception (229 yards/31 catches) on 1st down this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.5
Iowa’s TEs has gained 141 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.0 YPR) this season — 5th-worst among P5 TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 9.0 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
Iowa’s TEs has gained 141 yards on 20 receptions (just 7.0 YPR) this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten TEs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 7.4 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
Iowa’s WRs has averaged just 11.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-13th-worst among FBS WRs. Penn State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 RAC since the 2024 season — T-4th-best among Big Ten defenses.
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