Pitt vs Boston College Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 14

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Boston College quarterback Thomas Castellanos (1) rolls out during the second half of an NCAA college football game against UConn Saturday, Oct. 28, 2023 in Boston. (AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)
(AP Photo/Mark Stockwell)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2024, 2:41 PM
  • Boston College is a -4.5 point favorite vs. Pitt
  • Pittsburgh vs. Boston College Total (Over/Under): 48.5 points
  • TV Channel: CW

The Pittsburgh Panthers (7-4) visit Alumni Stadium to take on the Boston College Eagles (6-5) on Nov. 30 in Chestnut Hill, MA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:00pm EST.

Boston College is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-115).

The Pittsburgh vs. Boston College Over/Under is 48.5 total points.

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Pittsburgh vs. Boston College Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh+4.5 -10548.5 -110+165
Boston College -4.5 -11548.5 -110-200

Pittsburgh vs Boston College Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Boston College will win this game with 59.8% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Pitt and Boston College, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Pittsburgh vs Boston College Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Boston College will cover the spread with 54.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.80 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+1.25 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+9.25 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Boston College has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.75 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Boston College have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 25% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Pittsburgh players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pittsburgh Player Prop Bets Today

  • Desmond Reid has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Konata Mumpfield has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Eli Holstein has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Gavin Bartholomew has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kenny Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Boston College players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Boston College Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Lewis Bond has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games (+2.10 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Jaedn Skeete has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Thomas Castellanos has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Pitt is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.55 Units / 20.99% ROI).

  • Pittsburgh is 7-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 1.63% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 4-7 when betting the Over for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 7-4 when betting the Under for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI

Boston College Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Boston College is 7-4 against the spread this college football season (+2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI).

  • Boston College is 5-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.1 Units / 37.64% ROI
  • Boston College is 6-5 when betting the Over for +0.5 Units / 4.13% ROI
  • Boston College is 5-6 when betting the Under for -1.6 Units / -13.22% ROI

Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. Boston College

Pittsburgh is 1-7 (.125) when losing at least one fumble since the 2023 season– T-2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .462

Pittsburgh is 2-8 (.200) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-3rd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .487

Pittsburgh is 6-6 (.500) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .619

Pittsburgh is 6-6 (.500) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-12th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .669

Boston College: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh

Boston College is 10-6 (.625) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-33rd-best in FBS; Average: .504

Boston College is 6-9 (.400) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .534

Boston College is 7-2 (.778) when allowing less than 200 passing yards since the 2023 season– T-27th-best in FBS; Average: .616

Boston College is 6-9 (.400) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .586

Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh vs. Boston College

Boston College’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 622 attempts since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boston College’s QBs has thrown for 2,037 passing yards in 11 games (just 185.2 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 258.7 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Boston College’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 622 attempts since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts since the 2023 season — worst among ACC defenses.

Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 3,034 passing yards in 11 games (275.8 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Boston College’s defense has allowed 242.2 passing yards per game this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh’s TEs has 51 receptions in 11 games (4.6 per game) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh’s QBs has thrown for 3,031 passing yards in 11 games (275.5 YPG) this season — 21st-best among FBS teams. Boston College’s defense has allowed 242.2 passing yards per game this season — 5th-worst among ACC defenses.

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh RBs have averaged 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (739 yards / 84 touches) on 2nd down this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.5

Pittsburgh Skill Players have caught 10 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter this season– T-most among FBS Teams

Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 3,034 passing yards in 11 games (275.8 YPG) this season — 22nd-best among FBS offenses. Boston College’s defense has allowed 242.2 passing yards per game this season — T-33rd-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh’s TEs has 51 receptions in 11 games (4.6 per game) this season — 5th-best among ACC TEs. Boston College’s defense has allowed 20.4 receptions per game this season — T-29th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh RBs have averaged 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (251 yards / 24 touches) in close and late situations this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Boston College Offensive Stats & Trends

Boston College’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 622 attempts since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.

Boston College’s QBs has thrown for 2,037 passing yards in 11 games (just 185.2 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 258.7 passing yards per game this season — 4th-worst among ACC defenses.

Boston College’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 11.6% of 622 attempts since the 2023 season — T-32nd-best among FBS offenses. Pittsburgh’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts since the 2023 season — worst among ACC defenses.

Boston College’s RBs has averaged 15.0 yards after the catch this season — 2nd-best among FBS RBs. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed just 5.9 RAC to RBs this season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.

Boston College’s QBs has thrown for 2,037 passing yards in 11 games (just 185.2 YPG) this season — 24th-worst among FBS teams. Pittsburgh’s defense has allowed 258.7 passing yards per game this season — 17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 25 of 120 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 25 of 120 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh allowed passes of 20+ yards on 10 of 47 attempts (21%) on 3rd and long in the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 15 of 73 attempts (20%) on 3rd and long this season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9%

Pittsburgh has tackled opponents for a loss on 89 of 414 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) this season– T-4th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Boston College Eagles Defensive Stats & Trends

Boston College has sacked opposing QBs just once on 71 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.8

Boston College sacked opponents 7 times last week– 3rd-most in FBS

Boston College sacked opposing QBs on 23% of pass attempts (7/30) last week– 7th-best in FBS; Average: 7%

Boston College allowed no passing TDs (30 pass attempts) last week– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.2

Boston College sacked opponents 7 times last week– 3rd-most among Power Conference Teams


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.