Pitt vs Syracuse Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 8

The JMA Wireless Dome is in Syracuse, New York, on Monday, January 16, 2023.
(AP Photo/Ted Shaffrey)
  • Pitt is a -10.5 point favorite vs. Syracuse
  • Pittsburgh vs. Syracuse Total (Over/Under): 54.5 points
  • TV Channel: ACCN

Pittsburgh (4-2) visit JMA Wireless Dome to take on Syracuse (3-3) on Oct. 18 in Syracuse, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Pitt is a betting favorite in Week 8, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).

The Pittsburgh vs. Syracuse Over/Under is 54.5 total points.

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Pittsburgh vs. Syracuse Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh-10.5 -11054.5 -105-425
Syracuse +10.5 -11054.5 -115320

Pittsburgh vs Syracuse Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 76.9% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Pitt and Syracuse, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Pittsburgh vs Syracuse Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Syracuse will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.85 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.40 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+0.10 Units / 0% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+11.65 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.35 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 13 games (+1.55 Units / 11% ROI)
  • Syracuse has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 12 games (+1.10 Units / 1% ROI)

Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Pitt is 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Pittsburgh is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.4 Units / 5.83% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 43.94% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -51.52% ROI

Syracuse Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Syracuse iss 3-2 against the spread this college football season (+0.8 Units / 12.12% ROI).

  • Syracuse is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.8 Units / 56.3% ROI
  • Syracuse is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Syracuse is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI

Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. Syracuse

Syracuse has averaged a sack every 35.6 pass attempts (249 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.9

Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best in FBS; Average: 56%

Syracuse has allowed 11 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Syracuse has allowed 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (176 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.8

Syracuse: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh

Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 1,856 passing yards in 6 games (309.3 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 291.2 passing yards per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh RBs averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (832 yards / 104 touches) on 2nd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Pittsburgh has 439 receptions in 19 games (23.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among ACC skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Pittsburgh has 439 receptions in 19 games (23.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Pittsburgh Skill Players caught 7 touchdown passes in close and late situations last season– most among FBS Teams

Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh vs. Syracuse

Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 1,856 passing yards in 6 games (309.3 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 291.2 passing yards per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh RBs averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (832 yards / 104 touches) on 2nd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Pittsburgh has 439 receptions in 19 games (23.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among ACC skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Pittsburgh has 439 receptions in 19 games (23.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Pittsburgh Skill Players caught 7 touchdown passes in close and late situations last season– most among FBS Teams

Syracuse has averaged a sack every 35.6 pass attempts (249 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.9

Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best in FBS; Average: 56%

Syracuse has allowed 11 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Syracuse has allowed 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (176 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.8

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse has averaged a sack every 35.6 pass attempts (249 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.9

Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best in FBS; Average: 56%

Syracuse has allowed 11 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Syracuse has allowed 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (176 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.8

Syracuse Offensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 1,856 passing yards in 6 games (309.3 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 291.2 passing yards per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh RBs averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (832 yards / 104 touches) on 2nd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Pittsburgh has 439 receptions in 19 games (23.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among ACC skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Pittsburgh has 439 receptions in 19 games (23.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Pittsburgh Skill Players caught 7 touchdown passes in close and late situations last season– most among FBS Teams

Pittsburgh Defensive Stats & Trends

Syracuse has averaged a sack every 35.6 pass attempts (249 Pass Attempts/7 Sacks) this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.9

Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best in FBS; Average: 56%

Syracuse has allowed 11 TD passes in the Red Zone this season– T-most among Power Conference Teams

Syracuse allowed a Completion Pct of just 29% (8 completions/28 attempts) on third and 10+ yards to go last season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 55%

Syracuse has allowed 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (176 yards / 18 touches) on 3rd and short this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.8

Syracuse Defensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh’s offense has thrown for 1,856 passing yards in 6 games (309.3 YPG) this season — 12th-best among FBS offenses. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 291.2 passing yards per game this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Pittsburgh RBs averaged 8.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (832 yards / 104 touches) on 2nd down last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Pittsburgh has 439 receptions in 19 games (23.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-best among ACC skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Pittsburgh has 439 receptions in 19 games (23.1 per game) since the 2024 season — T-17th-best among FBS skill players. Syracuse’s defense has allowed 22.5 receptions per game since the 2024 season — 3rd-worst among P5 defenses.

Pittsburgh Skill Players caught 7 touchdown passes in close and late situations last season– most among FBS Teams


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