Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:08 AM
  • Pittsburgh (7-4) are -6.5 point favorites vs Miami (FL) (5-6)
  • Total (Over/Under): 43.5 points

The Pittsburgh Panthers (7-4) visit Hard Rock Stadium to take on the Miami (FL) Hurricanes (5-6) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Miami Gardens.

Pittsburgh are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-115).

The Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) Over/Under is 43.5 total points.

Bet now on Miami (FL) vs Pittsburgh & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh-6.5 -11543.5 -110-250
Miami (FL) +6.5 -10543.5 -110+200

Pittsburgh vs Miami (FL) Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Pittsburgh will win this game with 57% confidence.

The prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Pittsburgh and Miami (FL), plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Pittsburgh Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Pittsburgh players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kedon Slovis has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.80 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Kedon Slovis has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Konata Mumpfield has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the 1H Moneyline in 17 of their last 22 games (+13.40 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.85 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 4 away games (+5.05 Units / 106% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 away games (+4.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Pittsburgh have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 10 away games (+3.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+4.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.85 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.35 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Miami (FL) has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.10 Units / 6% ROI)

Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Pittsburgh has gone 3-7 against the spread this college football season (-4.7 Units / -42.73% ROI).

  • Pittsburgh is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.65 Units / -38.92% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 24.55% ROI
  • Pittsburgh is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -32.73% ROI

Miami (FL) Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Miami (FL) has gone 2-8 against the spread this college football season (-6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • Miami (FL) is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -31.68% ROI
  • Miami (FL) is 5-5 when betting the Over for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Miami (FL) is 5-5 when betting the Under for -0.5 Units / -4.55% ROI

Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. Miami (FL)

Pittsburgh is 10-1 (.833) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– 14th-best in FBS; Average: .581

Pittsburgh is 10-3 (.714) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .446

Pittsburgh is 10-5 (.526) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .410

Pittsburgh is 9-5 (.643) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .418

Miami (FL): Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh

Miami (FL) is 3-9 (.231) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 13th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437

Miami (FL) is 1-8 (.100) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 8th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .331

Miami (FL) is 3-1 (.750) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2021 season– tied for 6th-best in FBS; Average: .383

Miami (FL) is 5-6 (.312) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 15th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh Skill Players have averaged just -3.0 yards per reception (-3 yards/1 catches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.2

Pittsburgh Skill Players have averaged just -3.0 yards per reception (-3 yards/1 catches) in short yardage situations this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.7

Pittsburgh QBs have 112 completions for 20 or more yards since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-most among FBS Teams

Pittsburgh Skill Players have caught just 5 of 19 passes (26% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 58%

Pittsburgh RBs have fumbled 8 times this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL) Offensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) RBs have averaged 10.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (119 yards / 11 touches) on third and 3-5 yards to go since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7

Miami (FL) TEs have 12 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL) QBs have fumbled 4 times in the 4th quarter this season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

Miami (FL) WRs have averaged just 8.1 yards per reception (404 yards/50 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.4

Miami (FL) WRs have averaged just 5.9 yards per reception (89 yards/15 catches) with 4-6 yards to go this season– tied for 2nd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12.2

Pittsburgh Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh has sacked opponents 88 times since the 2021 season– most in FBS

Pittsburgh has tackled opponents for a loss on 169 of 778 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) since last season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.

Pittsburgh has tackled opponents for a loss on 169 of 778 rushing attempts (22% TFL%) since last season– tied for 4th best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Pittsburgh has allowed 7.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (191 yards / 27 touches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.6

Pittsburgh has averaged 3.7 sacks per game since last season– best in FBS; Average: 2.2

Miami (FL) Hurricanes Defensive Stats & Trends

Miami (FL) has sacked opposing QBs on 12% of pass attempts (35/281) this season– tied for best in FBS; Average: 7%

Miami (FL) has allowed 48.1 receiving yards per game (1,058/22) to RBs since the 2021 season– worst in FBS; Average: 26.2

Miami (FL) has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for 2nd most in FBS

Miami (FL) has sacked opponents 6 times in the Red Zone this season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

Miami (FL) has allowed 7.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (568 yards / 72 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.9


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Miami (FL) vs Pittsburgh and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.