Pittsburgh vs UCLA Prediction, Odds, Prop Bets: Sun Bowl

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Dec 16, 2022, 10:45 AM
  • (3-9) are point favorites vs (3-9)
  • Total (Over/Under): Total points
  • Watch the game on CBS

The Pittsburgh Panthers (9-4) visit Sun Bowl Stadium to take on the UCLA Bruins (9-4) on Dec. 30. Kickoff is scheduled for 2:00pm EST in El Paso.

are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at ().

The Pittsburgh vs. UCLA Over/Under is total points.

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Pittsburgh vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 18

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Pittsburgh
UCLA

Pittsburgh vs UCLA Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UCLA will win this game with 70.4% confidence.

Pittsburgh vs UCLA Spread Prediction for Week 18

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 51.0% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Pittsburgh and UCLA, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


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Best Pittsburgh Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Pittsburgh players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kedon Slovis has hit the TD Passes Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.80 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Kedon Slovis has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
  • Konata Mumpfield has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)

Best UCLA Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for UCLA players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Zach Charbonnet has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.40 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Dorian Thompson-Robinson has hit the TD Passes Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+3.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Zach Charbonnet has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Pittsburgh Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Pittsburgh has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Pittsburgh is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Pittsburgh is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Pittsburgh is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record

UCLA has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • UCLA is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • UCLA is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • UCLA is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Pittsburgh: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA

Pittsburgh is 11-3 (.733) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .451

Pittsburgh is 12-5 (.571) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game since the 2021 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .416

Pittsburgh is 11-3 (.647) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .466

Pittsburgh is 9-5 (.643) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. Pittsburgh

#18 UCLA is 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes since the 2021 season– 6th-best in FBS; Average: .556

#18 UCLA is 8-6 (.571) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .420

#18 UCLA is 9-3 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– tied for 11th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .561

#18 UCLA is 12-3 (.800) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2021 season– 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .600

Matchup Notes for Pittsburgh vs. UCLA

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

Pittsburgh Offensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh QBs have averaged just -7.1 Yards per Carry (-64 yards/9 carries) in the 4th quarter this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 2.4

Pittsburgh Skill Players have averaged just -0.5 yards per reception (-1 yards/2 catches) on 3rd and short this season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 9.1

Pittsburgh RBs have fumbled 9 times this season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

Pittsburgh Skill Players have 115 receptions for 20 or more yards since last season– tied for 2nd most among Power 5 Teams

Pittsburgh QBs have averaged just -3.0 Yards per Carry (-65 yards/22 carries) in the 4th quarter since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 2.6

UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends

#17 UCLA Punters have placed 0% of punts inside the 20 (0/1) since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 33%

#17 UCLA RBs have averaged 14.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (269 yards / 19 touches) on 3rd and long since last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 7.3

#17 UCLA Punters have punted 1.0 times per game since last season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 4.3

#17 UCLA WRs have averaged 25.0 yards per reception (200 yards/8 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 14.1

#17 UCLA RBs have 9 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– 3rd most among FBS Teams

Pittsburgh Panthers Defensive Stats & Trends

Pittsburgh has averaged 3.8 sacks per game since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 2.2

Pittsburgh has sacked opponents 94 times since last season– most in FBS

Pittsburgh has tackled opponents for a loss on 12 of 44 rushing attempts (27% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 14%.

Pittsburgh has sacked opposing QBs on 11% of pass attempts (94/889) since last season– tied for 3rd best in FBS; Average: 7%

Pittsburgh has tackled opponents for a loss on 28 of 122 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) in the Red Zone since last season– tied for 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 15%.

UCLA Bruins Defensive Stats & Trends

#17 UCLA has allowed 47.3 receiving yards per game (1,088/23) to RBs since last season– worst in FBS; Average: 26.2

#17 UCLA has allowed 50.4 receiving yards per game (554/11) to RBs this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 25.8

#17 UCLA has allowed a Completion Pct of 68% (271 completions/398 attempts) this season– 5th worst in FBS; Average: 60%

Opponents have averaged 23.9 completions per game (549 / 23) against #17 UCLA since last season– 3rd worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 19.3

#17 UCLA has allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 1 of their 363 carries (0%) this season– best in FBS; Average: 3%


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.