Purdue vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Nov 26, 2022, 9:05 AM
  • Purdue (7-4) are -10.5 point favorites vs Indiana (4-7)
  • Total (Over/Under): 54 points

The Purdue Boilermakers (8-4) visit Memorial Stadium (Bloomington, IN) to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (4-8) on Nov. 26. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Bloomington.

are betting favorites in Week 13, with the spread sitting at ().

The Purdue vs. Indiana Over/Under is total points.

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Purdue vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 13

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue
Indiana

Purdue vs Indiana Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Purdue will win this game with 64.2% confidence.

Purdue vs Indiana Spread Prediction for Week 13

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Indiana, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the Passing Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Aidan O’Connell has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 57% ROI)
  • King Doerue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)

Best Indiana Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Indiana players for Week 13, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Connor Bazelak has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.40 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Connor Bazelak has hit the Passing Yards Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+14.00 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+10.18 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 12 of their last 19 games (+5.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games (+7.65 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+3.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games (+2.15 Units / 54% ROI)

Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Purdue has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Purdue is 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.45 Units / 14.86% ROI
  • Purdue is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Purdue is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Indiana is 3-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.35 Units / -3.26% ROI
  • Indiana is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Indiana is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

Purdue is 7-1 (.778) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .540

Purdue is 11-1 (.917) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– tied for 3rd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .626

Purdue is 11-7 (.550) when passing for more than 200 yards since the 2021 season– 12th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .409

Purdue is 8-5 (.533) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2021 season– 14th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .429

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue

Indiana is 1-9 (.100) when the opposing team commits less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .518

Indiana is 1-11 (.059) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

Indiana is 1-12 (.077) when not forcing a fumble since the 2021 season– 3rd-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .453

Indiana is 2-13 (.133) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– 5th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .434

Matchup Notes for Purdue vs. Indiana

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.7% of 763 attempts since the 2021 season — third-worst among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.2% of attempts since the 2021 season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana’s WRs has 10 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for second-fewest among Power 5 WRs. Purdue’s defense has allowed 35 receiving touchdowns since the 2021 season — fifth-most among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s TEs has 127 receptions in 23 games (5.5 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among FBS TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s TEs has 127 receptions in 23 games (5.5 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among P5 TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 7,842 passing yards in 23 games (341.0 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed 261.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends

Purdue’s TEs has 127 receptions in 23 games (5.5 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fifth-best among FBS TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s TEs has 127 receptions in 23 games (5.5 per game) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among P5 TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2021 season — tied for second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 7,842 passing yards in 23 games (341.0 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed 261.3 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue TEs have caught 7 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Purdue TEs have caught 7 touchdown passes in the Red Zone — 3rd-most among Power 5 Teams

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana WRs have averaged a touchdown every 24.0 receptions (240 Rec/10 TDs) since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among Power 5 Teams; Average: 10.9

Indiana WRs have averaged a touchdown every 24.0 receptions (240 Rec/10 TDs) since last season– 3rd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.7% of 763 attempts since the 2021 season — third-worst among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.2% of attempts since the 2021 season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Indiana WRs have fumbled 5 times in close and late situations since last season– most among FBS Teams

Indiana WRs have fumbled 6 times in the 4th quarter since last season– most among FBS Teams

Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends

Purdue has allowed first downs on 11% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 27%

Purdue has allowed a Completion Pct of 100% (5 completions/5 attempts) on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: 60%

Purdue has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 23 of 320 carries (7%) — best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13%

Purdue has allowed 15.0 yards per completion (2,349 yards/157 completions) this season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 12.5

Purdue has allowed first downs on 15% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 28%

Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana has allowed 34 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Indiana has allowed 34 first down receptions in the Red Zone since last season– most in FBS

Indiana has allowed first downs on 40% of pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 21%

Indiana has allowed 33 TD passes in the Red Zone since the 2021 season– most in FBS

Indiana has allowed 16 first down receptions in the Red Zone this season– most in FBS


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.