Purdue vs Indiana Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 14

Indiana wide receiver Donaven McCulley (1) runs during the first half of an NCAA college football game against Indiana State, Friday, Sept. 8, 2023, in Bloomington, Ind. (AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
(AP Photo/Darron Cummings)
  • Indiana is a -28.5 point favorite vs. Purdue
  • Purdue vs. Indiana Total (Over/Under): 56.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The Purdue Boilermakers (1-10) visit Memorial Stadium to take on the Indiana Hoosiers (10-1) on Nov. 30 in Bloomington, IN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EST.

Indiana is a betting favorite in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -28.5 (-115).

The Purdue vs. Indiana Over/Under is 56.5 total points.

Bet now on Indiana vs Purdue & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Purdue vs. Indiana Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Purdue+28.5 -10556.5 -110+1600
Indiana -28.5 -11556.5 -110-10000

Purdue vs Indiana Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Indiana will win this game with 95.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Indiana, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Purdue vs Indiana Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


Bet now on Indiana vs Purdue and all games with BetMGM


  • Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Indiana have covered the 1H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Indiana have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Indiana has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.80 Units / 53% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today

  • Devin Mockobee has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Max Klare has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Devin Mockobee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • Jahmal Edrine has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Indiana players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Indiana Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tayven Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tayven Jackson has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Omar Cooper Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Purdue is 3-8 against the spread this college football season (-5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI).

  • Purdue is 0-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.45 Units / -100% ROI
  • Purdue is 7-4 when betting the Over for +2.6 Units / 21.49% ROI
  • Purdue is 4-7 when betting the Under for -3.7 Units / -30.58% ROI

Indiana Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Indiana is 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI).

  • Indiana is 9-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +8 Units / 7.62% ROI
  • Indiana is 8-3 when betting the Over for +4.7 Units / 38.84% ROI
  • Indiana is 3-8 when betting the Under for -5.8 Units / -47.93% ROI

Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Indiana

Purdue is winless (0-12) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .435

Purdue is winless (0-12) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: .385

Purdue is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards this season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .485

Purdue is 5-11 (.312) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .669

Indiana: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue

Indiana was winless (0-7) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .576

Indiana is undefeated (9-0) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .650

Indiana is 1-8 (.100) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .383

Indiana is 4-9 (.286) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .466

Matchup Notes for Purdue vs. Indiana

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 296 attempts this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana has gained 2,833 yards on 203 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-10th-best among FBS skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana has gained 2,833 yards on 203 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Purdue’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.8% of 307 attempts this season — T-31st-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 2,145 passing yards in 11 games (just 195.0 YPG) this season — 34th-worst among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 184.9 passing yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Purdue’s TEs has gained 761 yards on 59 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends

Purdue’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.8% of 307 attempts this season — T-31st-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 6.4% of attempts this season — best among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 2,145 passing yards in 11 games (just 195.0 YPG) this season — 34th-worst among FBS teams. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 184.9 passing yards per game this season — 25th-best among FBS defenses.

Purdue’s TEs has gained 761 yards on 59 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 2nd-best among Big Ten TEs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 8.6 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — 13th-best among FBS defenses.

Purdue’s WRs has averaged just 11.7 yards after the catch since the 2023 season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Indiana’s defense has allowed just 11.1 RAC since the 2023 season — T-33rd-best among FBS defenses.

Purdue’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.0% of 699 attempts since the 2023 season — T-12th-worst among FBS offenses. Indiana’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 8.6% of attempts since the 2023 season — T-26th-best among FBS defenses.

Indiana Offensive Stats & Trends

Indiana TEs have no receptions on 2 targets on 3rd down this season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 58%

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 296 attempts this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts this season — 6th-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana has gained 2,833 yards on 203 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — T-10th-best among FBS skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana has gained 2,833 yards on 203 receptions (14.0 YPR) this season — best among Big Ten skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 13.8 Yards Per Reception this season — T-5th-worst among FBS defenses.

Indiana’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on 14.9% of 296 attempts this season — 7th-best among FBS offenses. Purdue’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 13.7% of attempts this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends

Purdue has allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (21 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season– 2nd-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.6

Purdue has allowed 13.8 yards per completion (2,683 yards/195 completions) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.9

Purdue has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 94 of 668 attempts (14%) since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 9%

Purdue has allowed 5.2 touchdowns per interception (21 TDs allowed, and 4 INT) this season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.5

Purdue has allowed 33 TDs in the Red Zone this season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 1.9

Indiana Hoosiers Defensive Stats & Trends

Indiana did not record a sack (26 pass attempts) last week– T-worst in FBS; Average: 14.4

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 322 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: 16%.

Indiana has allowed 2.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (149 yards / 61 touches) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd-best in the Big Ten; Average: 3.7

Indiana has tackled opponents for a loss on 73 of 322 rushing attempts (23% TFL%) this season– 3rd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 16%.

Indiana has allowed 5.3 yards from scrimmage per touch (2,871 yards / 538 touches) this season– 3rd-best in FBS; Average: 6.8


Bet now on Indiana vs Purdue and all games with BetMGM


More College Football Betting at BetMGM

BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.

Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.

Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!

BetMGM First Bet Offer
About the Author

Nick Hennion

Read More @nickhennion

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.

Nick Hennion is a senior content writer for BetMGM. His previous stops include VSiN, NBC Sports, The Action Network and Forbes Betting. He owns a bachelor's degree from Syracuse University and a master's degree from Northwestern University.