- Michigan is a -21 point favorite vs. Purdue
- Purdue vs. Michigan Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
Purdue (2-6) visit Michigan Stadium to take on Michigan (6-2) on Nov. 1 in Ann Arbor, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT.
Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -21 (-110).
The Purdue vs. Michigan Over/Under is 50.5 total points.
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Purdue vs. Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| Purdue | +21 -110 | 50.5 -115 | 1000 |
| Michigan | -21 -110 | 50.5 -105 | -2000 |
Purdue vs Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Michigan will win this game with 76.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Purdue vs Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 50.7% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Purdue Best Bets Today
- Purdue has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Purdue has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- Purdue have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 13 games (+0.36 Units / 2% ROI)
Michigan Best Bets Today
- Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+15.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 9% ROI)
- Michigan have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+4.90 Units / 57% ROI)
Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Purdue is 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.6 Units / -29.21% ROI).
- Purdue is 2-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -17.86% ROI
- Purdue is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Purdue is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Michigan iss 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- Michigan is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 4.69% ROI
- Michigan is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Michigan is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Michigan
Purdue has 348 receptions in 20 games (just 17.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s WRs has 207 receptions in 20 games (just 10.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among P5 TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 5.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue
Michigan WRs averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (401 yards/46 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.6
Michigan WRs averaged just 7.3 yards per reception (169 yards/23 catches) on 1st down last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.5
Michigan WRs averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (401 yards/46 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.9
Michigan WRs averaged just 9.1 yards per reception (752 yards/83 catches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Michigan has gained 1,526 yards on 121 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among P5 defenses.
Matchup Notes for Purdue vs. Michigan
Michigan WRs averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (401 yards/46 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.6
Michigan WRs averaged just 7.3 yards per reception (169 yards/23 catches) on 1st down last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.5
Michigan WRs averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (401 yards/46 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.9
Michigan WRs averaged just 9.1 yards per reception (752 yards/83 catches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Michigan has gained 1,526 yards on 121 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among P5 defenses.
Purdue has 348 receptions in 20 games (just 17.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s WRs has 207 receptions in 20 games (just 10.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among P5 TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 5.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends
Purdue has 348 receptions in 20 games (just 17.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s WRs has 207 receptions in 20 games (just 10.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among P5 TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 5.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Michigan WRs averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (401 yards/46 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.6
Michigan WRs averaged just 7.3 yards per reception (169 yards/23 catches) on 1st down last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.5
Michigan WRs averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (401 yards/46 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.9
Michigan WRs averaged just 9.1 yards per reception (752 yards/83 catches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Michigan has gained 1,526 yards on 121 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among P5 defenses.
Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends
Purdue has 348 receptions in 20 games (just 17.4 per game) since the 2024 season — 5th-worst among Big Ten skill players. Michigan’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s WRs has 207 receptions in 20 games (just 10.4 per game) since the 2024 season — T-31st-worst among FBS WRs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 20.9 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — 3rd-worst among P5 TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 5.8 receptions per game to TEs this season — 2nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Purdue’s TEs has 15 receptions in 8 games (just 1.9 per game) this season — worst among Big Ten TEs. Michigan’s defense has allowed 22.0 receptions per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.
Michigan Defensive Stats & Trends
Michigan WRs averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (401 yards/46 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.6
Michigan WRs averaged just 7.3 yards per reception (169 yards/23 catches) on 1st down last season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.5
Michigan WRs averaged just 8.7 yards per reception (401 yards/46 catches) with 7-10 yards to go last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 13.9
Michigan WRs averaged just 9.1 yards per reception (752 yards/83 catches) last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
Michigan has gained 1,526 yards on 121 receptions (12.6 YPR) this season — T-35th-best among FBS skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 14.7 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among P5 defenses.
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