Purdue vs Minnesota Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 7

BetMGM Betting Oct 10, 2025, 11:26 AM

min read

(Photo by Gian Lorenzo Ferretti/Shutterstock)

Minnesota is a -7.5 point favorite vs. Purdue
Purdue vs. Minnesota Total (Over/Under): 50.5 points
TV Channel: BTN

Purdue (2-3) visit Huntington Bank Stadium to take on Minnesota (3-2) on Oct. 11 in Minneapolis, MN. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:30pm EDT.

Minnesota is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).

The Purdue vs. Minnesota Over/Under is 50.5 total points.

Bet now on Minnesota vs Purdue & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Purdue vs. Minnesota Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Purdue	+7.5 -110	50.5 -110	240
Minnesota	-7.5 -110	50.5 -110	-300

Purdue vs Minnesota Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Minnesota will win this game with 73.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Minnesota, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Purdue vs Minnesota Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Purdue will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.

Bet now on Minnesota vs Purdue and all games with BetMGM

Get a New Customer Offer

Purdue Best Bets Today

Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 33% ROI)
Purdue has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.85 Units / 15% ROI)
Purdue has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Purdue has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.65 Units / 11% ROI)

Minnesota Best Bets Today

Minnesota has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.90 Units / 51% ROI)
Minnesota has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.40 Units / 2% ROI)
Minnesota have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.10 Units / 15% ROI)

Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Purdue is 2-3 against the spread this college football season (-1.4 Units / -25% ROI).

Purdue is 2-3 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -4.76% ROI
Purdue is 2-3 when betting the Over for -1.3 Units / -23.64% ROI
Purdue is 3-2 when betting the Under for +0.8 Units / 14.55% ROI

Minnesota Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Minnesota iss 1-4 against the spread this college football season (-3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI).

Minnesota is 2-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.55 Units / -4.49% ROI
Minnesota is 4-1 when betting the Over for +2.9 Units / 52.73% ROI
Minnesota is 1-4 when betting the Under for -3.4 Units / -61.82% ROI

Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Minnesota

Purdue RBs averaged 10.0 Yards per Carry (269 yards/27 carries) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Purdue RBs averaged 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (184 yards / 21 touches) last week– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Purdue RBs averaged 9.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (318 yards / 33 touches) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Purdue WRs were targeted 39 times last week– most among Big Ten Teams

Purdue’s WRs has 172 receptions in 17 games (just 10.1 per game) since the 2024 season — 4th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Minnesota’s defense has allowed just 17.2 receptions per game since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.

Minnesota: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota Skill Players have caught 5 of 5 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 61%

Minnesota has averaged just 10.8 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 14.1 RAC since the 2024 season — worst among FBS defenses.

Minnesota’s WRs have just 142.6 receiving yards per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten WRs. Purdue’s defense has allowed 248.4 receiving yards per game this season — 4th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Matchup Notes for Purdue vs. Minnesota

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota Skill Players have caught 5 of 5 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 61%

Purdue RBs averaged 10.0 Yards per Carry (269 yards/27 carries) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Purdue RBs averaged 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (184 yards / 21 touches) last week– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Purdue RBs averaged 9.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (318 yards / 33 touches) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Purdue WRs were targeted 39 times last week– most among Big Ten Teams

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends

Purdue RBs averaged 10.0 Yards per Carry (269 yards/27 carries) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Purdue RBs averaged 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (184 yards / 21 touches) last week– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Purdue RBs averaged 9.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (318 yards / 33 touches) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Purdue WRs were targeted 39 times last week– most among Big Ten Teams

Minnesota Offensive Stats & Trends

Minnesota TEs averaged 18.8 yards per reception (113 yards/6 catches) on 3rd and long last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 11.0

Minnesota Skill Players have caught 5 of 5 passes (100% Reception Pct) on 3rd and short since the 2024 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 61%

Purdue Defensive Stats & Trends

Purdue RBs averaged 10.0 Yards per Carry (269 yards/27 carries) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.2

Purdue RBs averaged 8.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (184 yards / 21 touches) last week– 4th-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.0

Purdue RBs averaged 9.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (318 yards / 33 touches) in close and late situations last season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4

Purdue WRs were targeted 39 times last week– most among Big Ten Teams