Purdue vs Wisconsin Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

min read

AP Photos

BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 31, 2022, 11:14 AM

– (3-5) are point favorites vs – (3-5)
Total (Over/Under): points
Watch the game on ESPN

The Purdue Boilermakers (5-3) visit Camp Randall Stadium to take on the Wisconsin Badgers (4-4) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Madison.

– are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for Purdue vs. Wisconsin is total points.

Bet now on Wisconsin vs Purdue & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

Purdue vs. Wisconsin Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

	Spread	Total (O/U)	Moneyline
Purdue
Wisconsin

Purdue vs Wisconsin Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Wisconsin will win this game with 51.2% confidence.

Purdue vs Wisconsin Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Wisconsin will cover the spread with 59.9% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Purdue and Wisconsin, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.

Best Purdue Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Purdue players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Aidan O’Connell has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 81% ROI)

Aidan O’Connell has hit the TD Passes Over in 5 of his last 7 games (+3.40 Units / 41% ROI)

King Doerue has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 46% ROI)

Best Wisconsin Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Wisconsin players for Week 8, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Graham Mertz has hit the TD Passes Over in 4 of his last 6 games (+3.15 Units / 50% ROI)

Graham Mertz has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.05 Units / 88% ROI)

Skyler Bell has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)

Chez Mellusi has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 75% ROI)

Chimere Dike has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)

Purdue Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Purdue has hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games (+14.40 Units / 31% ROI)

Purdue has hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+11.40 Units / 33% ROI)

Purdue has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.38 Units / 40% ROI)

Purdue have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 35% ROI)

Purdue has hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.70 Units / 45% ROI)

Wisconsin Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals

Wisconsin has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+7.00 Units / 13% ROI)

Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games at home (+5.83 Units / 45% ROI)

Wisconsin has hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)

Wisconsin has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+4.60 Units / 10% ROI)

Wisconsin has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.55 Units / 32% ROI)

Purdue Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Purdue has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Purdue is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Purdue is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Purdue is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Wisconsin Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Wisconsin has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

Wisconsin is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
Wisconsin is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
Wisconsin is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Purdue: Keys to the Game vs. Wisconsin

Purdue is 8-1 (.889) when intercepting at least 1 pass — tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .618

Purdue is 8-3 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .444

Purdue is 7-2 (.636) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2020 season– 9th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .464

Purdue is winless (0-4) when having a TD margin of -2 or worse since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .007

Wisconsin: Keys to the Game vs. Purdue

Wisconsin is undefeated (7-0) when scoring 22 or more points — 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .487

Wisconsin is 6-2 (.600) when making 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .417

Wisconsin is undefeated (4-0) when not throwing an interception — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .462

Wisconsin is 12-4 (.600) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2020 season– tied for 8th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .446

Matchup Notes for Purdue vs. Wisconsin

Wisconsin’s TEs has gained 288 yards on 22 receptions (13.1 YPR) this season — third-best among Big Ten TEs. Purdue’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin has gained 1,440 yards on 100 receptions (14.4 YPR) this season — third-best among Big Ten skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 14.5 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for third-worst among P5 defenses.

Wisconsin’s TEs has gained 856 yards on 74 receptions (11.6 YPR) since the 2021 season — fifth-best among Big Ten TEs. Purdue’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s offense has thrown for 6,639 passing yards in 19 games (349.4 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS offenses. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 202.1 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s QBs has thrown for 6,898 passing yards in 19 games (363.1 YPG) since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS teams. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 202.1 passing yards per game since the 2021 season — second-best among Big Ten defenses.

Purdue’s WRs have 265.2 receiving yards per game since the 2021 season — fourth-best among Power 5 WRs. Wisconsin’s defense has allowed just 125.2 receiving yards per game to WRs since the 2021 season — fourth-best among FBS defenses.

Purdue Offensive Stats & Trends

Purdue WRs have averaged 21.6 receptions per game (411/19) since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 13.1

Purdue TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in close and late situations since last season– most among Power 5 Teams

Purdue TEs have caught 6 touchdown passes in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for most among Power 5 Teams

Purdue Skill Players have averaged 30.9 receptions per game (588/19) since last season– 3rd best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

Wisconsin Offensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin has gained 3,483 yards on 270 receptions (12.9 YPR) since the 2021 season — tied for fourth-best among Big Ten skill players. Purdue’s defense has allowed 13.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — second-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Wisconsin QBs have 10 completions for 20 or more yards on 3rd down this season– tied for most among FBS Teams

Purdue Boilermakers Defensive Stats & Trends

Purdue has allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations this season– most among Power 5 Teams

Purdue has allowed 5 TD passes in close and late situations this season– tied for most in FBS

Purdue has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 12 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: 12%.

Purdue has allowed a Completion Pct of just 31% (9 completions/29 attempts) on 3rd and long this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 55%

Purdue has allowed opponents to catch just 9 of 29 passes (31% Reception Pct) on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 54%

Wisconsin Badgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Wisconsin has allowed one passing TD (24 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Wisconsin has allowed one passing TD (24 pass attempts) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.3

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 8.8 Passing Attempts per TD (44 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 4.1

Wisconsin opponents has averaged 8.8 Passing Attempts per TD (44 Pass Attempts/5 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 4.0

Wisconsin has allowed first downs on 14% of rush attempts since last season– best among Power 5 Teams; Average: 23%

Looking to place a bet on this game with a First Bet Offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Wisconsin vs Purdue and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author