Rice vs Army Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 4

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Army Black Knights head coach Jeff Monken converses with other coaches on his headset about the next play during an NCAA college football game against Air Force in Arlington, Texas, Saturday, Nov. 5, 2022. (AP Photo/Emil Lippe)
(AP Photo/Emil Lippe)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 20, 2024, 1:42 PM
  • Army is a -6 point favorite vs. Rice
  • Rice vs. Army Total(Over/Under): 42.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSSN

The Rice Owls (1-2) visit Blaik Field at Michie Stadium to take on the Army Black Knights (2-0) on Sep. 21 in West Point, NY. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Army is a betting favorite in Week 4, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Rice vs. Army Over/Under is 42.5 total points.

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Rice vs. Army Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rice+6 -11042.5 -110+195
Army -6 -11042.5 -110-250

Rice vs Army Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Army will win this game with 68.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rice and Army, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rice vs Army Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Army will cover the spread with 54.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.50 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+3.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Rice have covered the 1H Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Rice has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Army has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.60 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.75 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Army has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (+0.60 Units / 5% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Rice players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rice Player Prop Bets Today

  • Boden Groen has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • AJ Padgett has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dean Connors has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Dean Connors has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • AJ Padgett has hit the TD Passes Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Army players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Army Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Bryson Daily has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rice is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).

  • Rice is 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.55 Units / -100% ROI
  • Rice is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Rice is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Army Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Army is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).

  • Army is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 95.24% ROI
  • Army is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
  • Army is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI

Rice: Keys to the Game vs. Army

Rice is winless (0-7) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .143

Rice is 6-15 (.286) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2022 season– 37th-worst in FBS; Average: .447

Rice is 3-12 (.200) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2022 season– T-18th-worst in FBS; Average: .453

Rice is 1-7 (.091) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2022 season– 15th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .221

Army: Keys to the Game vs. Rice

Army is 2-9 (.167) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-3rd-worst in FBS; Average: .496

Army is 1-6 (.083) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– 7th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .330

Army is 1-9 (.100) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .334

Army is 3-6 (.300) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– 32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .497

Matchup Notes for Rice vs. Army

Rice’s defense has allowed just 12.7 receptions per game this season — 3rd-best among NonP5 defenses.

Army’s offense has thrown for 101 passing yards in 2 games (just 50.5 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense has allowed just 140.0 passing yards per game this season — 5th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Army’s offense has thrown for 101 passing yards in 2 games (just 50.5 YPG) this season — 2nd-worst among FBS offenses. Rice’s defense has allowed just 140.0 passing yards per game this season — 24th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice’s offense has thrown for 515 passing yards in 3 games (just 171.7 YPG) this season — 25th-worst among FBS offenses. Army’s defense has allowed just 151.5 passing yards per game this season — 31st-best among FBS defenses.

Rice’s QBs has thrown for 515 passing yards in 3 games (just 171.7 YPG) this season — 25th-worst among FBS teams. Army’s defense has allowed just 151.5 passing yards per game this season — 31st-best among FBS defenses.

Rice has 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice Offensive Stats & Trends

Rice’s offense has thrown for 515 passing yards in 3 games (just 171.7 YPG) this season — 25th-worst among FBS offenses. Army’s defense has allowed just 151.5 passing yards per game this season — 31st-best among FBS defenses.

Rice’s QBs has thrown for 515 passing yards in 3 games (just 171.7 YPG) this season — 25th-worst among FBS teams. Army’s defense has allowed just 151.5 passing yards per game this season — 31st-best among FBS defenses.

Rice has 2.0 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-31st-best among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 1.2 receiving touchdowns per game since the 2023 season — T-25th-best among FBS defenses.

Rice Skill Players have averaged just 7.9 yards per reception (507 yards/64 catches) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2

Rice has gained 507 yards on 64 receptions (just 7.9 YPR) this season — worst among FBS skill players. Army’s defense has allowed just 8.7 Yards Per Reception this season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.

Army Offensive Stats & Trends

Army TEs have averaged 20.3 yards per reception (183 yards/9 catches) since the 2022 season– best among FBS Teams; Average: 11.2

Army Skill Players have averaged just 6.2 receptions per game (87/14) since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9

Army Skill Players have averaged just 3.0 receptions per game (6/2) this season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

Army Skill Players have averaged 17.2 yards per reception (2,169 yards/126 catches) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 12.1

Army Skill Players have been targeted 6.0 times per game (12/2) this season– lowest among FBS Teams; Average: 29.3

Rice Owls Defensive Stats & Trends

Rice has sacked opposing QBs on 21% of pass attempts (14/67) this season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Rice has sacked opposing QBs on 21% of pass attempts (14/67) this season– best in FBS; Average: 7%

Rice has sacked opponents 14 times this season– most in FBS

Rice has sacked opponents 14 times this season– most among Non-Power Conference Teams

Rice has averaged 4.7 sacks per game this season– best in FBS; Average: 2.0

Army Black Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Army has not recorded a sack (56 pass attempts) this season– worst in FBS; Average: 14.7

Army has not recorded a sack (56 pass attempts) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 15.8

Army’s opponents has attempted just 24.0 passes per game since the 2022 season– 2nd-lowest in FBS; Average: 31.2

Army have yet to sack an opposing QBs (56 pass attempts) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 6%

Army has allowed 172.3 Passing Yards per game (4,308/25) since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 225.6


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.