Rutgers vs Illinois Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 10

Illinois head coach Bret Bielema watches from the sideline during the second half of an NCAA college football game against Iowa, Saturday, Nov. 18, 2023, in Iowa City, Iowa. Iowa won 15-13. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
(AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall)
  • Illinois is a -12.5 point favorite vs. Rutgers
  • Rutgers vs. Illinois Total (Over/Under): 62.5 points
  • TV Channel: NBC | PEAC

Rutgers (4-4) visit Gies Memorial Stadium (Champaign, IL) to take on Illinois (5-3) on Nov. 1 in Champaign, IL. Kickoff is scheduled for 12:00pm EDT.

Illinois is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -12.5 (-115).

The Rutgers vs. Illinois Over/Under is 62.5 total points.

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Rutgers vs. Illinois Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rutgers+12.5 -10562.5 -110375
Illinois -12.5 -11562.5 -110-500

Rutgers vs Illinois Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Illinois will win this game with 79.2% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rutgers and Illinois, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rutgers vs Illinois Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Illinois will cover the spread with 50.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+11.35 Units / 7% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1H Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.60 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.25 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Illinois have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+4.55 Units / 10% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Illinois has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers is 4-4 against the spread this college football season (-0.4 Units / -4.51% ROI).

  • Rutgers is 3-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.85 Units / -4.52% ROI
  • Rutgers is 6-2 when betting the Over for +3.9 Units / 45.35% ROI
  • Rutgers is 2-6 when betting the Under for -4.7 Units / -52.22% ROI

Illinois Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Illinois iss 5-3 against the spread this college football season (+1.7 Units / 19.54% ROI).

  • Illinois is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 3.75% ROI
  • Illinois is 5-3 when betting the Over for +1.7 Units / 19.32% ROI
  • Illinois is 3-5 when betting the Under for -2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Illinois

Illinois TEs averaged 18.0 yards per reception (36 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.1

Illinois has averaged 12.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has gained 1,646 yards on 117 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has gained 1,646 yards on 117 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 15.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Rutgers Skill Players averaged 18.9 yards per reception (359 yards/19 catches) last week– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.8

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 666 attempts since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers TEs have no touchdowns on 33 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5

Rutgers’s QBs has thrown for 2,292 passing yards in 8 games (286.5 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Illinois’s defense has allowed 246.5 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Matchup Notes for Rutgers vs. Illinois

Rutgers Skill Players averaged 18.9 yards per reception (359 yards/19 catches) last week– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.8

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 666 attempts since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers TEs have no touchdowns on 33 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5

Rutgers’s QBs has thrown for 2,292 passing yards in 8 games (286.5 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Illinois’s defense has allowed 246.5 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Illinois TEs averaged 18.0 yards per reception (36 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.1

Illinois has averaged 12.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has gained 1,646 yards on 117 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has gained 1,646 yards on 117 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 15.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Illinois TEs averaged 18.0 yards per reception (36 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.1

Illinois has averaged 12.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has gained 1,646 yards on 117 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has gained 1,646 yards on 117 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 15.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers Skill Players averaged 18.9 yards per reception (359 yards/19 catches) last week– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.8

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 666 attempts since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers TEs have no touchdowns on 33 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5

Rutgers’s QBs has thrown for 2,292 passing yards in 8 games (286.5 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Illinois’s defense has allowed 246.5 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers Defensive Stats & Trends

Illinois TEs averaged 18.0 yards per reception (36 yards/2 catches) in the 4th quarter last season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.1

Illinois has averaged 12.6 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-27th-best among FBS skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has gained 1,646 yards on 117 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 14.1 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has gained 1,646 yards on 117 receptions (14.1 YPR) this season — T-33rd-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 15.4 Yards Per Reception to WRs this season — 7th-worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois’s WRs has averaged 14.3 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 12.5 RAC since the 2024 season — T-19th-worst among FBS defenses.

Illinois Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers Skill Players averaged 18.9 yards per reception (359 yards/19 catches) last week– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 10.8

Rutgers’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 666 attempts since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Illinois’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.7% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has averaged 13.0 yards after the catch since the 2024 season — 2nd-best among Big Ten skill players. Illinois’s defense has allowed 12.1 RAC to TEs since the 2024 season — T-25th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers TEs have no touchdowns on 33 receptions this season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among Power Conference Teams; Average: 9.5

Rutgers’s QBs has thrown for 2,292 passing yards in 8 games (286.5 YPG) this season — 18th-best among FBS teams. Illinois’s defense has allowed 246.5 passing yards per game this season — worst among Big Ten defenses.


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