Rutgers vs Maryland Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 12

Maryland head coach Mike Locksley looks on during pre-game warm-ups before an NCAA college football game against Indiana, Saturday, Sept. 30, 2023, in College Park, Md. (AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
(AP Photo/Terrance Williams)
  • Maryland is a -5.5 point favorite vs. Rutgers
  • Rutgers vs. Maryland Total (Over/Under): 51.5 points
  • TV Channel: FS1

The Rutgers Scarlet Knights (5-4) visit SECU Stadium to take on the Maryland Terrapins (4-5) on Nov. 16 in College Park, MD. Kickoff is scheduled for 6:00pm EST.

Maryland is a betting favorite in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-115).

The Rutgers vs. Maryland Over/Under is 51.5 total points.

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Rutgers vs. Maryland Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Rutgers+5.5 -10551.5 -115+185
Maryland -5.5 -11551.5 -105-225

Rutgers vs Maryland Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Maryland will win this game with 62.6% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Rutgers and Maryland, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Rutgers vs Maryland Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Maryland will cover the spread with 57.8% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 away games (+4.30 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Rutgers have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 away games (+1.80 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Rutgers has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+3.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Maryland have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Rutgers players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rutgers Player Prop Bets Today

  • Dymere Miller has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kyle Monangai has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Maryland players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Maryland Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tai Felton has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Kaden Prather has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Roman Hemby has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)

Rutgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Rutgers is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Rutgers is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Rutgers is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Rutgers is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Maryland is 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.55 Units / 5.53% ROI).

  • Maryland is 4-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -13.65% ROI
  • Maryland is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
  • Maryland is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI

Rutgers: Keys to the Game vs. Maryland

Rutgers is 3-6 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .472

Rutgers is 2-10 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2023 season– 5th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .435

Rutgers is 3-6 (.333) when allowing 200 or more passing yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .503

Rutgers is 5-11 (.312) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .457

Maryland: Keys to the Game vs. Rutgers

Maryland is undefeated (8-0) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2023 season– T-best in FBS; Average: .670

Maryland is 11-4 (.733) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– T-37th-best in FBS; Average: .642

Maryland is 3-5 (.375) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– 14th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .528

Maryland is 2-10 (.167) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .285

Matchup Notes for Rutgers vs. Maryland

Maryland’s WRs has gained 2,038 yards on 173 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland’s WRs has averaged 30.3 targets per game this season — highest among Big Ten WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 4.6 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Maryland has averaged 41.7 targets per game this season — highest among Big Ten skill players. Rutgers’s defense has allowed 4.6 receptions per game to TEs this season — T-4th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs has 27 receptions in 9 games (just 3.0 per game) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game this season — T-17th-worst among FBS defenses.

Rutgers has gained 1,890 yards on 148 receptions (12.8 YPR) this season — T-4th-best among Big Ten skill players. Maryland’s defense has allowed 12.6 Yards Per Reception this season — 2nd-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers’s TEs has 27 receptions in 9 games (just 3.0 per game) this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten TEs. Maryland’s defense has allowed 21.1 receptions per game this season — 5th-worst among Big Ten defenses.

Rutgers Offensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers Skill Players have averaged 19.5 yards per reception (292 yards/15 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.3

Rutgers Skill Players have averaged 19.3 yards per reception (560 yards/29 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 12.3

Rutgers Skill Players have averaged just 2.9 yards per reception (29 yards/10 catches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Big Ten Teams; Average: 9.3

Rutgers WRs have averaged 23.4 yards per reception (467 yards/20 catches) with over 10 yards to go since the 2023 season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 14.1

Rutgers WRs have averaged 26.2 yards per reception (210 yards/8 catches) with over 10 yards to go this season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.4

Maryland Offensive Stats & Trends

Maryland’s WRs has gained 2,038 yards on 173 receptions (just 11.8 YPR) this season — T-3rd-worst among Big Ten WRs. Rutgers’s defense has allowed just 8.9 Yards Per Reception to TEs this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.

Maryland Skill Players have averaged 14.0 receptions per game (126/9) in the 2nd half this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 8.9

Maryland Skill Players have been targeted 21.1 times per game (190/9) in the 2nd half this season– highest among Big Ten Teams; Average: 13.7

Maryland Skill Players have averaged 27.8 receptions per game (250/9) this season– 2nd-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 19.5

Maryland Skill Players have averaged 174.0 receiving yards per game (1,566/9) in the 2nd half this season– best among Big Ten Teams; Average: 105.4

Rutgers Scarlet Knights Defensive Stats & Trends

Rutgers has sacked opposing QBs just once on 58 pass attempts in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 14.6

Rutgers allowed 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (39 yards / 4 touches) in the Red Zone last week– 2nd-worst in FBS; Average: 3.9

Rutgers has tackled opponents for a loss on just 11 of 128 rushing attempts (9% TFL%) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 4th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 15%.

Rutgers allowed 9.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (39 yards / 4 touches) in the Red Zone last week– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.0

Rutgers has tackled opponents for a loss on just 3 of 66 rushing attempts (4% TFL%) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 11%.

Maryland Terrapins Defensive Stats & Trends

Maryland has allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (9 completions/23 attempts) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 61%

Maryland has tackled opponents for a loss on 4 of 19 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) on 3rd and short this season– best in the Big Ten; Average: 7%.

Maryland had no interceptions and 3 TD passes allowed last week– T-2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 1.6

Maryland has allowed 12.6 yards per completion (2,389 yards/190 completions) this season– 2nd-worst in the Big Ten; Average: 10.9

Maryland has allowed 18 TD passes this season– most in the Big Ten


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