Sam Houston St vs Louisiana Tech Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets โ€“ NCAAF, Week 10

Footballs sit ready on the field before an NCAA football game on Saturday, Oct. 14, 2023, in Muncie, Ind. (AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
(AP Photo/Doug McSchooler)
  • Louisiana Tech is a -16.5 point favorite vs. Sam Houston St
  • Sam Houston State vs. Louisiana Tech Total (Over/Under): 49.5 points
  • TV Channel: CBSN

Sam Houston State (0-7) visit Joe Aillet Stadium to take on Louisiana Tech (4-3) on Oct. 31 in Ruston, LA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.

Louisiana Tech is a betting favorite in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -16.5 (-118).

The Sam Houston State vs. Louisiana Tech Over/Under is 49.5 total points.

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Sam Houston State vs. Louisiana Tech Odds, Spread, Over/Under:

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
Sam Houston State+16.5 -10249.5 -115575
Louisiana Tech -16.5 -11849.5 -105-800

Sam Houston State vs Louisiana Tech Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Louisiana Tech will win this game with 78.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Sam Houston St and Louisiana Tech, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Sam Houston State vs Louisiana Tech Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Sam Houston will cover the spread with 53.1% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Sam Houston State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Sam Houston State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.75 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Sam Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.60 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+5.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Louisiana Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.05 Units / 56% ROI)

Sam Houston State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Sam Houston St is against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Sam Houston State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Sam Houston State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Sam Houston State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Louisiana Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Louisiana Tech iss 4-2 against the spread this college football season (+1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI).

  • Louisiana Tech is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -10.81% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 2-4 when betting the Over for -2.4 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Louisiana Tech is 4-2 when betting the Under for +1.8 Units / 27.27% ROI

Sam Houston State: Keys to the Game vs. Louisiana Tech

Sam Houston allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (24 completions/61 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in FBS; Average: 55%

Sam Houston allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 5 of their 475 carries (1%) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4%

Sam Houston allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 24 of 398 attempts (6%) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Sam Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (155 completions/214 attempts) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Sam Houston opponents averaged 13.5 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Louisiana Tech: Keys to the Game vs. Sam Houston State

Louisiana Tech was winless (0-2) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Louisiana Tech is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .264

Louisiana Tech was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Louisiana Tech was 3-8 (.273) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Matchup Notes for Sam Houston State vs. Louisiana Tech

Louisiana Tech was winless (0-2) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Louisiana Tech is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .264

Louisiana Tech was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Louisiana Tech was 3-8 (.273) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Sam Houston allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (24 completions/61 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in FBS; Average: 55%

Sam Houston allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 5 of their 475 carries (1%) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4%

Sam Houston allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 24 of 398 attempts (6%) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Sam Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (155 completions/214 attempts) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Sam Houston opponents averaged 13.5 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Sam Houston State Offensive Stats & Trends

Sam Houston allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (24 completions/61 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in FBS; Average: 55%

Sam Houston allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 5 of their 475 carries (1%) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4%

Sam Houston allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 24 of 398 attempts (6%) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Sam Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (155 completions/214 attempts) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Sam Houston opponents averaged 13.5 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Louisiana Tech Offensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech was winless (0-2) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Louisiana Tech is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .264

Louisiana Tech was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Louisiana Tech was 3-8 (.273) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .442

Sam Houston State Defensive Stats & Trends

Sam Houston allowed a Completion Pct of just 39% (24 completions/61 attempts) on 3rd and long last season– best in FBS; Average: 55%

Sam Houston allowed opponents to rush for 20+ yards on just 5 of their 475 carries (1%) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 4%

Sam Houston allowed passes of 20+ yards on just 24 of 398 attempts (6%) last season– 2nd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 10%

Sam Houston has allowed a Completion Pct of 72% (155 completions/214 attempts) this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 62%

Sam Houston opponents averaged 13.5 Passing Attempts per TD (27 Pass Attempts/2 Passing TDs) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8

Louisiana Tech Defensive Stats & Trends

Louisiana Tech was winless (0-2) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400

Louisiana Tech is winless (0-9) when allowing 22 or more points since the 2024 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .264

Louisiana Tech was 2-7 (.222) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season– T-14th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .385

Louisiana Tech was 3-8 (.273) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times last season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .442


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