- San Diego St is a -3 point favorite vs. Fresno St
- San Diego State vs. Fresno State Total (Over/Under): 47.5 points
- TV Channel: FS1
San Diego State (5-1) visit Valley Children's Stadium to take on Fresno State (5-2) on Oct. 25 in Fresno, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
San Diego St is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -3 (-110).
The San Diego State vs. Fresno State Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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San Diego State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | -3 -110 | 47.5 -110 | -150 |
| Fresno State | +3 -110 | 47.5 -110 | 125 |
San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction:
The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 59.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego St and Fresno St, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Diego State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 55.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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San Diego State Best Bets Today
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.75 Units / 25% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.70 Units / 25% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+1.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Fresno State Best Bets Today
- Fresno State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- Fresno State has hit the Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.73 Units / 13% ROI)
- Fresno State have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+0.70 Units / 9% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego St is 5-1 against the spread this college football season (+3.9 Units / 59.09% ROI).
- San Diego State is 5-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.2 Units / 39.02% ROI
- San Diego State is 3-3 when betting the Over for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
- San Diego State is 3-3 when betting the Under for -0.3 Units / -4.55% ROI
Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Fresno St iss 3-4 against the spread this college football season (-1.3 Units / -17.11% ROI).
- Fresno State is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.95 Units / 8.41% ROI
- Fresno State is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- Fresno State is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State
San Diego State has gained 1,137 yards on 88 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 28th-best among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State have thrown 0 TDs on 21 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s WRs has gained 3,047 yards on 246 receptions (just 12.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has averaged just 4.0 yards after the catch this season — 3rd-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
San Diego State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
San Diego State was 1-7 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
San Diego State was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .479
San Diego State was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. Fresno State
San Diego State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
San Diego State was 1-7 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
San Diego State was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .479
San Diego State was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
San Diego State has gained 1,137 yards on 88 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 28th-best among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State have thrown 0 TDs on 21 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s WRs has gained 3,047 yards on 246 receptions (just 12.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has averaged just 4.0 yards after the catch this season — 3rd-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State has gained 1,137 yards on 88 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 28th-best among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State have thrown 0 TDs on 21 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s WRs has gained 3,047 yards on 246 receptions (just 12.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has averaged just 4.0 yards after the catch this season — 3rd-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
San Diego State was 1-7 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
San Diego State was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .479
San Diego State was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State has gained 1,137 yards on 88 receptions (12.9 YPR) this season — 28th-best among FBS skill players. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.3 Yards Per Reception this season — T-22nd-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State have thrown 0 TDs on 21 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter this season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.4
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 8.6% of 510 attempts since the 2024 season — T-21st-worst among FBS offenses. Fresno State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 7.8% of attempts since the 2024 season — T-16th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s WRs has gained 3,047 yards on 246 receptions (just 12.4 YPR) since the 2024 season — T-30th-worst among FBS WRs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.8 Yards Per Reception since the 2024 season — T-21st-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs has averaged just 4.0 yards after the catch this season — 3rd-worst among FBS RBs. Fresno State’s defense has allowed just 10.2 RAC this season — T-20th-best among FBS defenses.
Fresno State Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
San Diego State was 1-7 (.125) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season– T-10th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .400
San Diego State was 3-9 (.250) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-19th-worst in FBS; Average: .479
San Diego State was 1-4 (.200) when allowing 200 or more passing yards last season– T-14th-worst in FBS; Average: .481
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