- The C Michigan is a -2.5 point favorite vs. San Diego State
- The San Diego State vs. Central Michigan Total(Over/Under): 53.5 points
- TV Channel: CBSSN
The San Diego State Aztecs (1-2) visit Kramer/Deromedi Field at Kelly/Shorts Stadium to take on the Central Michigan Chippewas (2-2) on Sep. 28 in Mount Pleasant, MI. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT.
C Michigan is a betting favorite in Week 5, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The San Diego State vs. Central Michigan Over/Under is 53.5 total points.
Bet now on C Michigan vs San Diego State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
San Diego State vs. Central Michigan Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | +2.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | +120 |
| Central Michigan | -2.5 -110 | 53.5 -110 | -145 |
San Diego State vs Central Michigan Prediction:
The winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 51.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and C Michigan, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Diego State vs Central Michigan Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Central Michigan will cover the spread with 54.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
Bet now on C Michigan vs San Diego State and all games with BetMGM
San Diego State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.00 Units / 63% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.80 Units / 28% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.70 Units / 17% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 away games (+1.60 Units / 28% ROI)
Central Michigan Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Central Michigan has hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+2.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the Game Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Central Michigan has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 14% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Central Michigan players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Central Michigan Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jesse Prewitt III has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Chris Parker has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
Central Michigan Against the Spread (ATS) Record
C Michigan is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -27.59% ROI).
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Central Michigan
San Diego State is 2-9 (.182) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-11th-worst in FBS; Average: .457
San Diego State is 2-9 (.182) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-7th-worst in FBS; Average: .547
San Diego State is 3-9 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-28th-worst in FBS; Average: .422
San Diego State is 1-10 (.091) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .319
Central Michigan: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
Central Michigan is 5-8 (.385) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .632
Central Michigan is 4-1 (.800) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– 14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .609
Central Michigan is 4-8 (.333) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– T-38th-worst in FBS; Average: .457
Central Michigan is 5-9 (.357) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst in FBS; Average: .490
Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. Central Michigan
Central Michigan’s RBs has rushed for 689 yards on 102 carries (6.8 YPC) this season — 13th-best among FBS RBs. San Diego State’s defense have allowed 5.6 YPC to RBs this season — T-23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.9% of 87 attempts this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State WRs have just one touchdown on 8 receptions in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– 2nd-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 6.9% of 87 attempts this season — 18th-worst among FBS offenses. Central Michigan’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 11.8% of attempts this season — T-27th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Skill Players have averaged just 16.5 receptions per game (247/15) since the 2023 season– T-34th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 18.9
San Diego State WRs had no touchdowns on 6 receptions in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 1.9
San Diego State Skill Players have averaged just 10.4 yards per reception (477 yards/46 catches) this season– 26th-worst among FBS Teams; Average: 12.2
Central Michigan Offensive Stats & Trends
Central Michigan RBs averaged 17.2 Yards per Carry (224 yards/13 carries) in the 1st half last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Central Michigan RBs averaged 12.3 Yards per Carry (308 yards/25 carries) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.1
Central Michigan RBs averaged 14.8 yards from scrimmage per touch (236 yards / 16 touches) in the 1st half last week– 2nd-best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Central Michigan RBs averaged 11.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (322 yards / 29 touches) last week– best among FBS Teams; Average: 5.4
Central Michigan RBs have no touchdowns on 63 receptions since the 2023 season– T-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.6
San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State has allowed 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (565 yards / 54 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.3
San Diego State has allowed 7.0 yards from scrimmage per touch (91 yards / 13 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.7
San Diego State has allowed 10.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (565 yards / 54 touches) on 3rd and short since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 5.3
San Diego State has allowed 5.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (405 yards / 79 touches) in the Red Zone since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 3.8
San Diego State has allowed just 8.9 yards per completion (498 yards/56 completions) this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 11.9
Central Michigan Chippewas Defensive Stats & Trends
Central Michigan has allowed 4.5 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2023 season– T-6th-worst in FBS; Average: 1.8
Central Michigan has forced 4 fumbles on 554 carries (138.5 Carries Per Fumble) since the 2023 season– worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 41.3
Central Michigan has intercepted 6 of 467 attempts (77.8 pass attempts per int.) since the 2023 season– 5th-worst in FBS; Average: 36.3
Central Michigan has allowed 4.5 touchdowns per interception (27 TDs allowed, and 6 INT) since the 2023 season– T-4th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 2.0
Central Michigan has not tackled opponents for a loss on any of 7 rushing attempts on 3rd and short this season– T-worst in FBS; Average: 11%.
Bet now on C Michigan vs San Diego State and all games with BetMGM
More College Football Betting at BetMGM
BetMGM is the best online sportsbook for college football betting.
Whether you’re a first-time bettor checking out the best sportsbook promos, a casual fan betting on Georgia football national championship odds, Michigan football odds, or Ohio State playoff odds, or a longtime diehard breaking down trends for live sports betting, there are entertainment options for everyone.
Visit the sportsbook today to place a college football bet online!
