San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 9

min read
AP Photos
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 29, 2022, 12:34 PM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on Fox Networks

The San Diego State Aztecs (4-4) visit Bulldog Stadium at Jim Sweeney Field to take on the Fresno State Bulldogs (4-4) on Oct. 29. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Fresno.

are betting favorites in Week 9, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for San Diego State vs. Fresno State is total points.

Bet now on Fresno State vs San Diego State & all NCAAF games with BetMGM

San Diego State vs. Fresno State Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 9

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Diego State
Fresno State

San Diego State vs Fresno State Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Fresno State will win this game with 63.8% confidence.

San Diego State vs Fresno State Spread Prediction for Week 9

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Fresno State will cover the spread with 68.4% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and Fresno State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


Best San Diego State Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for San Diego State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player high – away 

Best Fresno State Player Prop Best Bets Today

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Fresno State players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • player  high – home
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

San Diego State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • San Diego State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • San Diego State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • San Diego State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

Fresno State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Fresno State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

  • Fresno State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
  • Fresno State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
  • Fresno State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. Fresno State

San Diego State is 7-1 (.778) when not losing a fumble — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .503

San Diego State is 11-1 (.846) when not throwing an interception — 12th-best in FBS; Average: .575

San Diego State is 13-1 (.929) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — 7th-best in FBS; Average: .562

Fresno State: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State

Fresno State is 7-2 (.778) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 8th-best in FBS; Average: .435

Fresno State is 12-2 (.750) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .511

Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. Fresno State

There are no matchup notes available for this game

There are no matchup notes available for this game

San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State RBs have rushed for one TD on 20 carries in the Red Zone this season– 5th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

San Diego State Skill Players have caught just 44 of 109 passes (40% Reception Pct) on 3rd down since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 59%

San Diego State RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 135 carries (67.5 Carries Per TD) this season– tied for 5th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 20.1

San Diego State TEs have averaged just 0.6 receptions per game (3/5) this season– tied for 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 3.2

San Diego State Skill Players have caught just 55 of 106 passes (52% Reception Pct) this season– 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 65%

Fresno State Offensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State WRs have averaged a touchdown every 35.3 receptions (106 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 4th worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.0

Fresno State RBs have averaged 6.9 yards from scrimmage per touch (318 yards / 46 touches) on 3rd and short since last season– tied for 5th best among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

Fresno State QBs have 49 completions for 20 or more yards on 1st down since last season– tied for 4th most among FBS Teams

Fresno State Skill Players have averaged just 8.6 yards per reception (577 yards/67 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– tied for 4th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

Fresno State Skill Players have 3,038 receiving yards on 1st down since last season– 2nd most among FBS Teams

San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends

San Diego State has allowed 6.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (150 yards / 23 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 3.7

San Diego State has allowed first downs on 46% of rush attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 17%

San Diego State has allowed first downs on 46% of rush attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 17%

San Diego State has allowed 6.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (150 yards / 23 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.7

San Diego State has allowed 5.2 yards from scrimmage per touch (485 yards / 93 touches) in the Red Zone since last season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.7

Fresno State Bulldogs Defensive Stats & Trends

Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (31 completions/81 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to catch just 31 of 80 passes (39% Reception Pct) in the Red Zone since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 55%

Fresno State has allowed a Completion Pct of just 38% (31 completions/81 attempts) in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd best in FBS; Average: 54%

Fresno State has allowed opponents to catch just 311 of 586 passes (53% Reception Pct) since last season– best in FBS; Average: 61%

Fresno State has allowed a passer rating of just 123.9 in the Red Zone (81.0 Pass Attempts) since last season– 5th best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 168.8


Looking to place a bet on this game with a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Fresno State vs San Diego State and all NCAAF games with BetMGM

College Football Betting at BetMGM

At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated NFL betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.

About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.