San Diego State vs Nevada Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 8

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 21, 2022, 8:31 AM
  • (3-5) are point favorites vs (3-5)
  • Total (Over/Under): points
  • Watch the game on CBS Sports Network

The San Diego State Aztecs (4-4) visit Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack (2-7) on Oct. 22. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT in Reno.

are betting favorites in Week 8, with the spread sitting at ().

The Over/Under for San Diego State vs. Nevada is total points.

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San Diego State vs. Nevada Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 8

SpreadTotal (O/U)Moneyline
San Diego State
Nevada

San Diego State vs Nevada Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 61.3% confidence.

San Diego State vs Nevada Spread Prediction for Week 8

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 59.5% confidence.

Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and Nevada, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.


  • San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.15 Units / 12% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.45 Units / 30% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.20 Units / 27% ROI)
  • San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.45 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Nevada has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games at home (+0.50 Units / 4% ROI)
  • San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    San Diego State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • San Diego State is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • San Diego State is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • San Diego State is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Nevada has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).

    • Nevada is when betting on the Moneyline for Units / ROI
    • Nevada is when betting the Over for Units / ROI
    • Nevada is when betting the Under for Units / ROI

    Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. Nevada

    Nevada’s offense has 1,688 rushing yards since the 2021 season — fourth-fewest among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 1,989 rushing yards since the 2021 season — second-fewest among NonP5 defenses.

    San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends

    San Diego State RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 135 carries (67.5 Carries Per TD) this season– tied for 5th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 19.9

    San Diego State have completed passes for 20+ yards on just 5 of their 115 total passing attempts (4%) this season– worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11%

    San Diego State RBs have rushed for one TD on 20 carries in the Red Zone this season– 5th worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.4

    San Diego State Skill Players have caught just 44 of 109 passes (40% Reception Pct) on 3rd down since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 59%

    San Diego State RBs have carried the ball 100 times on 3rd down since last season– 5th most among FBS Teams

    Nevada Offensive Stats & Trends

    Nevada Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 53.5 receptions (107 Rec/2 TDs) this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4

    Nevada WRs have just one touchdown on 65 receptions this season– worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 10.9

    Nevada QBs have 18 completions for 20 or more yards with over 10 yards to go since last season– tied for 2nd most among FBS Teams

    Nevada RBs have 6 receptions for 20 or more yards this season– tied for 3rd most among FBS Teams

    Nevada Skill Players have averaged 26.4 receptions per game (501/19) since last season– 4th best among FBS Teams; Average: 19.1

    San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends

    San Diego State has allowed 6.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (150 yards / 23 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 3.7

    San Diego State has allowed 6.5 yards from scrimmage per touch (150 yards / 23 touches) in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 3.7

    San Diego State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 73 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 15.9

    San Diego State has allowed first downs on 46% of rush attempts in the Red Zone this season– worst in FBS; Average: 17%

    San Diego State has allowed 24 TD passes in the Red Zone since last season– tied for most among Non-Power 5 Teams

    Nevada Wolf Pack Defensive Stats & Trends

    Nevada has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 9 of 152 attempts (6%) this season– tied for 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 2%

    Nevada has allowed passes of 40+ yards on 9 of 152 attempts (6%) this season– tied for 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 2%

    Nevada has allowed a passer rating of 261.1 in the Red Zone (6.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 172.3

    Nevada has allowed passes of 20+ yards on 14 of 81 attempts (17%) on 3rd and long since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 10%

    Nevada has allowed a passer rating of 261.1 in the Red Zone (6.0 Pass Attempts) this season– 4th worst in FBS; Average: 163.1


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