- San Diego State (6-4) are -14.5 point favorites vs New Mexico (2-8)
- Total (Over/Under): 37.5 points
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The San Diego State Aztecs (7-4) visit University Stadium (NM) to take on the New Mexico Lobos (2-9) on Nov. 18. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Albuquerque.
– are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at ().
The Over/Under for San Diego State vs. New Mexico is total points.
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San Diego State vs. New Mexico Odds, Spread, Over/Under for Week 12
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | |||
| New Mexico |
San Diego State vs New Mexico Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts San Diego State will win this game with 73.5% confidence.
San Diego State vs New Mexico Spread Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 64.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and New Mexico, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
San Diego State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 9 away games (+7.43 Units / 55% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
New Mexico Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- New Mexico has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 7 of their last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 88% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 13 games (+4.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- New Mexico has hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+4.30 Units / 21% ROI)
- New Mexico have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.75 Units / 33% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- San Diego State is 5-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.3% ROI
- San Diego State is 4-6 when betting the Over for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
- San Diego State is 6-4 when betting the Under for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
New Mexico Against the Spread (ATS) Record
New Mexico has gone against the spread this college football season ( Units / ROI).
- New Mexico is 1-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.6 Units / -68.47% ROI
- New Mexico is 5-4 when betting the Over for +0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI
- New Mexico is 4-5 when betting the Under for -1.5 Units / -15.15% ROI
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. New Mexico
San Diego State is 15-1 (.938) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities — tied for 5th-best in FBS; Average: .562
San Diego State is 9-1 (.818) when not losing a fumble — 7th-best in FBS; Average: .508
San Diego State is 11-1 (.846) when not throwing an interception — tied for 11th-best in FBS; Average: .576
New Mexico: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
New Mexico is winless (0-9) when intercepting no passes — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .357
New Mexico is winless (0-9) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .389
New Mexico is winless (0-8) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .398
New Mexico is 1-15 (.062) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .421
Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. New Mexico
New Mexico has gained 2,359 yards on 236 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico’s offense has 16 rushing touchdowns since the 2021 season — tied for fewest among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 16 rushing TDs since the 2021 season — second-fewest among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico’s RBs has 7 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — tied for fewest among FBS RBs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 12 rushing touchdowns in the Red Zone since the 2021 season — fifth-fewest among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State RBs have rushed for 2 TDs on 33 carries (16.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone this season– 3rd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 4.6
San Diego State RBs have rushed for 3 TDs on 253 carries (84.3 Carries Per TD) this season– 3rd worst Carries Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 21.6
San Diego State RBs have fumbled 13 times since last season– tied for most among FBS Teams
San Diego State WRs have averaged just 10.1 yards per reception (547 yards/54 catches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 5th worst among FBS Teams; Average: 13.4
San Diego State RBs have averaged 1.4 yards from scrimmage per touch (33 yards / 24 touches) on third and 3-5 yards to go since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.7
New Mexico Offensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico Skill Players have averaged just 3.7 yards per reception (77 yards/21 catches) with 4-6 yards to go since last season– worst among FBS Teams; Average: 11.4
New Mexico has gained 2,359 yards on 236 receptions (just 10.0 YPR) since the 2021 season — fourth-worst among FBS skill players. San Diego State’s defense has allowed just 11.0 Yards Per Reception since the 2021 season — tied for second-best among NonP5 defenses.
New Mexico RBs have averaged 3.6 yards from scrimmage per touch (521 yards / 143 touches) in the 4th quarter since last season– tied for 2nd worst among FBS Teams; Average: 5.3
New Mexico have been sacked on 17% of pass attempts (24/137) in the 4th quarter since last season– 3rd worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 8%
New Mexico Skill Players have averaged a touchdown every 35.0 receptions (105 Rec/3 TDs) this season– 2nd worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 11.7
San Diego State Aztecs Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 94 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16.1
San Diego State has allowed 16 rushing TDs on 689 carries (43.1 Carries Per TD) since last season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 22.8
San Diego State has sacked opposing QBs just once on 94 pass attempts in the Red Zone since last season– 3rd worst in FBS; Average: 16.0
San Diego State has tackled opponents for a loss on 146 of 689 rushing attempts (21% TFL%) since last season– tied for 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
San Diego State has tackled opponents for a loss on 6 of 23 rushing attempts (26% TFL%) in the Red Zone this season– 2nd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 16%.
New Mexico Lobos Defensive Stats & Trends
New Mexico has allowed rushes of 10 or more yards on just 72 of 809 carries (9%) since last season– best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 13%
New Mexico has allowed first downs on 8% of pass attempts on 3rd and long this season– 2nd best in FBS; Average: 28%
New Mexico has allowed just 147.9 receiving yards per game (1,331/9) this season– best in FBS; Average: 224.7
New Mexico has allowed 179.6 Passing Yards per game (1,616/9) this season– 3rd best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: 241.0
New Mexico has allowed first downs on 17% of pass attempts on 3rd and long since last season– 4th best in FBS; Average: 28%
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