- UCLA Bruins is a -12 point favorite vs. San Diego State Aztecs
- San Diego State vs. UCLA Total (Over/Under): 55.5 points
- TV Channel: BTN
San Diego State (1-0) visit Rose Bowl to take on UCLA (1-0) on Sep. 12 in Pasadena, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:15 pm.
The UCLA Bruins are betting favorites in Week 2, with the spread sitting at -12 (-110).
The San Diego State vs. UCLA Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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San Diego State vs. UCLA Odds, Spread, Over/Under:
| Spread | Total (O/U) | Moneyline | |
| San Diego State | +12 -108 | 55.5 -118 | +360 |
| UCLA | -12 -110 | 55.5 -102 | -475 |
San Diego State vs UCLA Prediction:
The winning team model predicts UCLA will win this game with 70.7% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
The winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the San Diego State Aztecs and the UCLA Bruins, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Diego State vs UCLA Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UCLA will cover the spread with 64.4% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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San Diego State Best Bets Today
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.60 Units / 27% ROI)
UCLA Best Bets Today
- UCLA has hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 4 games at home (+11.75 Units / 235% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 games (+7.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the Team Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- UCLA has hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+1.90 Units / 43% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State Aztecs is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- San Diego State is 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- San Diego State is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- San Diego State is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
UCLA Against the Spread (ATS) Record
UCLA Bruins is 1-0 against the spread this college football season (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- UCLA is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 71.43% ROI
- UCLA is 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- UCLA is 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
San Diego State: Keys to the Game vs. UCLA
San Diego State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst in FBS; Average: .536
San Diego State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing 100 or more rushing yards last season– T-5th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .390
San Diego State was 1-9 (.100) when allowing more than 3 explosive runs last season– T-6th-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .372
San Diego State was winless (0-6) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties last season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .477
UCLA: Keys to the Game vs. San Diego State
UCLA was 2-5 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .500
UCLA was 2-5 (.286) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities last season– T-33rd-worst in FBS; Average: .454
UCLA was 3-6 (.333) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season– T-15th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .515
UCLA was 5-2 (.714) when in a one score game last season– 11th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .514
Matchup Notes for San Diego State vs. UCLA
UCLA’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 5.6% of 358 attempts last season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — best among Pac-12 defenses.
UCLA’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 5.6% of 358 attempts last season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA’s QBs threw for 2,163 passing yards in 12 games (just 180.2 YPG) last season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. San Diego State’s defense allowed just 164.2 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
San Diego State’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. UCLA’s defense allowed 12.0 RAC to RBs last season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State’s WRs had 7 receiving touchdowns last season — 2nd-fewest among Pac-12 WRs. UCLA’s defense allowed 23 receiving touchdowns last season — T-2nd-most among Big Ten defenses.
San Diego State’s WRs had 134 receptions in 13 games (just 10.3 per game) last season — 33rd-worst among FBS WRs. UCLA’s defense allowed just 9.7 receptions per game to WRs last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.
San Diego State Offensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State averaged just 6.7 yards per completion (268 yards/40 completions) on 3rd down last season– 2nd-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 11.8
San Diego State threw 0 TDs on 55 pass attempts (one TD every inf Pass Attempts) in the 4th quarter last season– T-worst among FBS Offenses; Average: 19.9
San Diego State WRs had just one touchdown on 5 receptions in the Red Zone last season– T-7th-worst Receptions Per TD among FBS Teams; Average: 2.0
San Diego State’s RBs averaged 9.2 yards after the catch last season — T-32nd-best among FBS RBs. UCLA’s defense allowed 12.0 RAC to RBs last season — T-3rd-worst among FBS defenses.
San Diego State gained 40+ yards on 13 of their 166 receptions (8%) last season– 6th-best among FBS Offenses; Average: 4%
UCLA Offensive Stats & Trends
UCLA’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 5.6% of 358 attempts last season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — best among Pac-12 defenses.
UCLA’s offense threw for 20 or more yards on just 5.6% of 358 attempts last season — 3rd-worst among FBS offenses. San Diego State’s defense allowed 20+ yards on just 5.3% of attempts last season — T-2nd-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA’s QBs threw for 2,163 passing yards in 12 games (just 180.2 YPG) last season — 23rd-worst among FBS teams. San Diego State’s defense allowed just 164.2 passing yards per game last season — 4th-best among NonP5 defenses.
UCLA gained 2,163 yards on 229 receptions (just 9.4 YPR) last season — worst among Power 5 skill players. San Diego State’s defense allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 4th-best among FBS defenses.
UCLA gained 2,163 yards on 229 receptions (just 9.4 YPR) last season — worst among Power 5 skill players. San Diego State’s defense allowed just 9.6 Yards Per Reception last season — 2nd-best among NonP5 defenses.
San Diego State Defensive Stats & Trends
San Diego State allowed a Completion Pct of 75% (21 completions/28 attempts) in the Red Zone last season– worst in FBS; Average: 54%
San Diego State allowed 9 rushing TDs on 458 carries (50.9 Carries Per TD) last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 22.1
San Diego State allowed a Completion Pct of just 54% (223 completions/416 attempts) last season– 5th-best in FBS; Average: 62%
San Diego State allowed 11.1 yards from scrimmage per touch (432 yards / 39 touches) on 3rd and short in the 2023 season– worst in FBS; Average: 5.3
San Diego State allowed a Completion Pct of just 41% (23 completions/56 attempts) when opponents had over 10 yards to go last season– best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: 60%
UCLA Defensive Stats & Trends
UCLA averaged a sack every 32.5 pass attempts (325 Pass Attempts/10 Sacks) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 13.8
UCLA averaged a sack every 32.5 pass attempts (325 Pass Attempts/10 Sacks) last season– 4th-worst in FBS; Average: 14.7
UCLA allowed 4 rushing TDs on 54 carries (13.5 Carries Per TD) in the Red Zone in the 2023 season– best among Power Conference Teams; Average: 4.7
UCLA sacked opposing QBs on just 3% of pass attempts (10/325) last season– worst in the Big Ten; Average: 7%
UCLA averaged a sack every 32.5 pass attempts (325 Pass Attempts/10 Sacks) last season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: 14.3
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